Murky-Intelligence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

1,600

Trades

1,639

lifetime

Volume

$8.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$4

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:42
rou1 fcs fap 2026 07 17 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	07-17 20:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:18
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	CR Vasco da Gama	+$0	05-28 00:14
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	Diana Shnaider	+$0	04-14 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01dcb6…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fdf20…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8c49d…
10-23 07:21:18	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bdac9…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b92ce…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c4b35…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde826c…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2f3f2…
10-19 19:08:27	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30079f…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc176e…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x884bc8…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bbf41…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc494a7…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a9650…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf17480…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7aef4…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bac87…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3bdfd…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0dc41…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd226a9…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79429c…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa12582…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x196046…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x831d28…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2639c9…
10-06 07:28:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78b7a7…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36e071…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b62d7…
10-03 18:26:24	atp justo barrios 2026 10 03	Guido Justo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15ab2e…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09e806…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x785ced…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178409…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x244b88…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7edd0…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x951bc7…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeccaaa…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebd155…
09-30 08:47:39	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0874d5…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07aa9c…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x998182…
09-29 13:18:44	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36293b…
09-29 06:34:48	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2e8d5…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x744d44…
09-27 20:54:21	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9db4e1…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96950a…
09-27 13:30:39	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2ee56…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1fb68…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3f535…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x300bb6…
09-25 23:21:59	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf714c0…
09-25 10:13:02	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3003d3…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf6f6f…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a2c0c…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4125e8…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7bb3…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c5a5e…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cd767…
09-20 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe19706…
09-20 12:44:49	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa564b4…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9cb3e…
09-20 12:02:25	M15 Forbach: Manuel Frank vs Antoine Walch	Antoine Walch	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x090348…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56f923…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51217b…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x265a90…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fbcb1…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82a4aa…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c30e5…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7d6c3…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdda3a0…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbddd37…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde0d28…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x692a3b…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbca90…
09-17 12:57:06	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b28d6…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81a125…
09-16 19:24:21	Will FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3cb28…
09-16 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb74d02…
09-15 17:50:30	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2db6a0…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd070b5…
09-14 09:57:04	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb260d…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe560f9…
09-14 02:57:09	cs2 cs1 ntr 2026 09 13	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf905ec…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57e9c1…
09-13 20:07:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c2d34…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b78ff…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd047d…
09-12 19:13:22	South Florida vs. Army	South Florida	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a54c5…
09-12 13:40:51	Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50ad17…
09-12 03:07:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e7e24…
09-11 21:06:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f841d…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cc83b…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x235974…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0ab0a…
09-10 18:48:13	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab3d5a…
09-10 17:31:46	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfed4e5…
09-10 01:26:54	Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50bbd8…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b9867…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6146e4…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63ba1e…
09-09 07:41:42	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f0113…