Pointed-Jalapeño — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

729

Trades

8,215

lifetime

Volume

$2.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-13 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

51% 58% -$1,613

Politics

38% 69% -$55,124

Sports

7% 69% +$13,455

Crypto

3% 63% +$1,126

Tech

0% 22% -$86

Pop-Culture

0% 40% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	04-30 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	74	$79.2K	41,280	41,289	-9	Yes	+$1,799	02-16 03:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$68.2K	34,709	34,709	+0	Yes	-$267	02-03 15:35
Will the US strike Iran next?	111	$67.6K	38,548	29,548	+9,000	No	+$277	02-04 20:12
Will the US strike Somalia next?	28	$65.1K	35,753	30,021	+5,731	Yes	-$122	02-04 23:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	51	$49.8K	39,975	39,975	+0	Yes	-$18,975	02-28 19:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	68	$46.5K	43,038	7,860	+35,178	No	+$4,184	02-01 00:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	58	$46.2K	26,982	26,982	+0	Yes	-$837	04-07 19:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	59	$40.5K	22,090	22,459	-369	Yes	+$1,840	02-28 19:46
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	23	$39.0K	28,283	11,866	+16,417	Yes	+$471	01-10 12:22
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	16	$37.6K	21,928	21,928	+0	No	+$384	01-12 05:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	40	$35.4K	20,081	20,081	+0	No	+$393	06-28 13:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	24	$35.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$1,993	08-20 11:54
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	9	$32.3K	16,863	16,863	+0	No	+$102	02-27 08:58
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	12	$31.1K	15,792	15,792	+0	No	+$74	01-11 19:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	18	$31.0K	33,087	2,000	+31,087	Yes	-$27,421	02-27 11:17
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	14	$30.6K	15,455	15,455	+0	Yes	+$5	01-11 17:37
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	10	$29.4K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$165	02-09 23:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	55	$28.7K	16,588	15,227	+1,362	No	+$733	01-30 11:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	32	$27.1K	28,387	28,482	-94	No	+$569	03-19 18:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	36	$25.7K	13,690	13,690	+0	No	+$1,425	06-10 08:30
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	10	$25.5K	12,995	12,995	+0	No	+$458	01-13 05:03
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	11	$24.0K	12,122	12,122	+0	Send Help	+$123	02-03 18:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	68	$21.7K	16,109	16,109	+0	No	-$4	02-18 19:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	219	$21.4K	14,536	16,536	-2,000	No	-$266	05-23 14:18
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	38	$21.4K	10,766	10,766	+0	Yes	+$111	02-14 21:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$21.3K	11,870	11,999	-129	No	+$763	05-27 16:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$21.1K	10,600	10,600	+0	Yes	+$23	04-09 10:08
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	12	$21.1K	10,732	10,732	+0	No	+$168	02-25 16:59
Iran leadership change by April 30?	27	$21.0K	11,100	11,100	+0	No	+$433	04-28 23:25
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	9	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$60	01-02 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 20:12:28	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	266	46¢	$123	0x554696…
09-13 20:12:13	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x225f4c…
09-11 11:31:52	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	1,566	51¢	$797	0x1f6a83…
09-11 11:30:16	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x6faae9…
09-10 14:41:06	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	61	89¢	$55	0x85947d…
09-10 14:26:52	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0xf125ec…
09-03 21:38:27	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	SELL	3,299	78¢	$2,580	0x695b14…
09-01 22:20:40	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	10,300	84¢	$8,652	0x2d9210…
08-31 17:40:09	atp tsitsip fils 2026 08 30	Arthur Fils	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x9c81a1…
08-31 17:24:03	atp tsitsip fils 2026 08 30	Arthur Fils	BUY	699	43¢	$300	0x7cda53…
08-31 16:59:16	atp tsitsip fils 2026 08 30	Arthur Fils	BUY	1,695	77¢	$1,300	0x4f210c…
08-31 16:58:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,492	39¢	$1,774	0x52c4bc…
08-31 16:54:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	40¢	$396	0x481755…
08-31 16:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	62¢	$620	0x39e25c…
08-31 15:23:27	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	1,720	97¢	$1,668	0xba9f24…
08-31 12:13:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,400	80¢	$1,118	0x911649…
08-30 22:19:06	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xd5a612…
08-30 13:00:57	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	866	23¢	$200	0x76cba6…
08-28 12:57:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x3b58c6…
08-28 12:57:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x82f36f…
08-28 12:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	190	70¢	$133	0x241310…
08-28 12:56:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xdffd82…
08-28 12:55:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xca3dc4…
08-28 10:29:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x4e44e1…
08-28 10:27:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1e9b28…
08-28 10:25:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	136	70¢	$95	0x08f7f3…
08-28 10:25:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	136	70¢	$95	0x3af457…
08-28 10:22:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x5ace56…
08-28 10:22:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x15487a…
08-28 10:21:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x3e9e12…
08-28 10:20:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x4dfe9c…
08-28 10:19:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	136	70¢	$95	0x04f498…
08-28 10:11:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,506	70¢	$1,754	0xd0fb11…
08-28 06:52:55	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x5f4d56…
08-27 21:12:43	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	61	86¢	$53	0x8bea6a…
08-27 17:58:22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	2,400	89¢	$2,136	0x46cd7f…
08-27 17:58:07	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0x9c389b…
08-27 15:30:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	983	74¢	$728	0xe67270…
08-26 08:39:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	SELL	800	96¢	$768	0x4162bb…
08-25 09:54:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	66	71¢	$47	0x864abb…
08-25 08:18:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	280	37¢	$103	0xa81e7f…
08-25 03:34:09	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	534	71¢	$379	0x46b2df…
08-24 09:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x94074e…
08-24 09:42:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	SELL	400	40¢	$159	0x79f340…
08-23 20:07:37	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	399	83¢	$331	0xcca961…
08-23 18:45:36	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x676d46…
08-23 17:34:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	2,600	97¢	$2,525	0xa8dde1…
08-23 17:16:30	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xebc0fa…
08-23 16:44:31	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3d4b28…
08-23 14:51:46	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd388cc…
08-22 18:27:13	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	700	21¢	$144	0xe951ed…
08-22 18:26:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xddb079…
08-21 13:45:43	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,700	32¢	$544	0x26b6f5…
08-21 08:09:30	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd551ed…
08-21 08:09:06	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0xe9bb67…
08-21 08:08:57	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0xe67053…
08-21 08:08:54	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	400	47¢	$186	0x7ba540…
08-21 08:08:22	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x71825a…
08-21 08:08:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	180	71¢	$128	0x823470…
08-21 06:39:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	600	96¢	$576	0x03ee81…
08-21 02:57:48	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	13¢	$27	0x439951…
08-21 02:52:36	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x236d10…
08-20 19:00:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,200	71¢	$2,272	0x297a11…
08-20 16:26:58	will hyperliquid reach 76 in august	No	BUY	700	11¢	$78	0xfbc660…
08-20 15:49:16	Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa1969f…
08-20 14:31:25	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	600	58¢	$348	0x1360db…
08-20 13:32:12	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xb89a01…
08-20 11:54:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7,400	100¢	$7,363	0xfb025a…
08-20 11:31:25	Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x35cac7…
08-20 08:59:45	Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x02183e…
08-20 08:28:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x5db1a0…
08-20 07:19:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	122	75¢	$92	0x3a9253…
08-20 07:18:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	198	75¢	$149	0x5579ba…
08-20 05:46:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1,400	96¢	$1,344	0x7531aa…
08-19 22:11:43	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	1,946	96¢	$1,868	0x7601fd…
08-19 20:55:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,454	0xce19df…
08-19 18:16:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x90a8fc…
08-19 17:06:55	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	231	96¢	$222	0x6ab15b…
08-19 17:01:22	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	288	53¢	$153	0x10e425…
08-19 16:54:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	1,143	70¢	$800	0xe56c5b…
08-19 15:54:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x70eb72…
08-19 15:54:16	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6b767b…
08-19 15:54:16	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x53bfc8…
08-19 15:51:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x610fb1…
08-19 15:49:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6db4a2…
08-19 15:45:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	297	53¢	$158	0x78b050…
08-19 15:34:25	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xb2c554…
08-19 13:27:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,577	72¢	$3,296	0x5caee0…
08-19 12:30:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	658	77¢	$506	0x155364…
08-19 12:21:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	668	99¢	$660	0xe8514b…
08-19 12:05:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5c687c…
08-19 12:05:09	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xd8af41…
08-19 12:05:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	739	77¢	$569	0x10e668…
08-19 11:40:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	1,600	69¢	$1,104	0xc79282…
08-19 11:35:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x64f45c…
08-19 11:27:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf59710…
08-19 11:18:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x90493d…
08-19 11:17:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x539a8e…
08-19 11:11:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x5c45ba…
08-19 11:01:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	BUY	800	67¢	$536	0x421556…