Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$168
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$2,022
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-02 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $26 | $13 | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $15 | $32 | $17 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | Yes | +71 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-22 19:44 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-22 19:44 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +43 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 07-02 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +8 | $1 | $17 | 6 | 07-02 17:04 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-02 02:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 20:39 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 15:17 |
| Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 15:17 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x993b…6509 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 17:04:01 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xb63ff3… |
| 07-02 17:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xb63ff3… |
| 07-02 15:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x32223c… |
| 07-02 15:17:50 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x32223c… |
| 07-02 15:17:46 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xa2dac2… |
| 07-02 15:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa2dac2… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:11 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x90cd06… |
| 07-02 02:29:11 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x90cd06… |
| 06-29 13:03:44 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x1aaeb7… |
| 06-29 13:03:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x1aaeb7… |
| 06-24 20:39:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x8346df… |
| 06-24 20:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x8346df… |
| 06-24 20:39:17 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfea051… |
| 06-24 20:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfea051… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 36¢ | $26 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-05 04:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xc7918a… |
| 06-05 04:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xc7918a… |
| 06-05 04:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x7b5bfb… |
| 06-05 04:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x7b5bfb… |
| 05-30 08:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x9c0013… |
| 05-30 08:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x993b…6509 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9c0013… |