Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$471
Trades
69
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,022
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-30 06:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $63 | $49 | +$14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $17 | $39 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $92 | $25 | +$67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $48 | $34 | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 2 | $17 | $22 | $4 |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $17 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $15 | $47 | $32 |
| unranked | 9 | $59 | $25 | +$34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | Yes | +71 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-22 19:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +60 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 07-27 14:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +41 | $20 | $41 | 5 | 07-30 06:44 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +35 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-08 23:36 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +35 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-27 19:39 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +31 | $20 | $44 | 4 | 07-25 23:32 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-16 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ab0…f8c9 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 06:07 |
| Doting-Stupidity 0x747b…a2d4 | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-28 19:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 20:39 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 15:17 |
| Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 15:17 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $15 | 4 | 07-30 06:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:44:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x087427… |
| 07-30 06:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x087427… |
| 07-28 21:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 27 | 42¢ | $11 | 0xd0afc6… |
| 07-28 21:43:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 42¢ | $11 | 0xd0afc6… |
| 07-28 19:43:38 | Doting-Stupidity 0x747b…a2d4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x826028… |
| 07-28 19:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x826028… |
| 07-28 19:43:38 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x826028… |
| 07-28 03:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x4b4814… |
| 07-28 03:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x4b4814… |
| 07-28 03:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x1ccf…99ec | No | SELL | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x4b4814… |
| 07-27 19:39:42 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xee0d04… |
| 07-27 19:39:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xee0d04… |
| 07-27 14:06:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 59¢ | $18 | 0x6a373f… |
| 07-27 14:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x6a373f… |
| 07-26 16:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xf9af05… |
| 07-26 16:47:16 | Several-Pressurization 0x6d54…7c67 | No | SELL | 3 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xf9af05… |
| 07-25 23:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x1ccf…99ec | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x308bb8… |
| 07-25 23:32:13 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x308bb8… |
| 07-25 23:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x1ccf…99ec | No | SELL | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x1f41ac… |
| 07-25 23:10:55 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x1f41ac… |
| 07-25 02:51:13 | Several-Pressurization 0x6d54…7c67 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x45590c… |
| 07-25 02:51:13 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x45590c… |
| 07-25 02:35:00 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf74d76… |
| 07-25 02:35:00 | (anonymous) 0x1ccf…99ec | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf74d76… |
| 07-17 08:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x65668c… |
| 07-17 08:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x65668c… |
| 07-17 08:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x4610…5039 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 38¢ | $12 | 0x65668c… |
| 07-16 22:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x4610…5039 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x8bfe9b… |
| 07-16 22:29:34 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x8bfe9b… |
| 07-16 22:08:38 | (anonymous) 0x4610…5039 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x7d1fd4… |
| 07-16 22:08:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x7d1fd4… |
| 07-16 22:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x4610…5039 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0x8205ee… |
| 07-16 22:07:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0x8205ee… |
| 07-14 05:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x9854b3… |
| 07-14 05:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x993b…6509 | No | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x9854b3… |
| 07-10 06:07:01 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…f8c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x617a1b… |
| 07-10 06:07:01 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x617a1b… |
| 07-08 23:36:17 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xa84e40… |
| 07-08 23:36:17 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 35 | 49¢ | $17 | 0xa84e40… |
| 07-08 23:36:17 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 49¢ | $18 | 0xa84e40… |
| 07-08 23:26:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf1db67… |
| 07-08 23:26:58 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xf1db67… |
| 07-02 17:04:01 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xb63ff3… |
| 07-02 17:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xb63ff3… |
| 07-02 15:17:50 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x32223c… |
| 07-02 15:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x32223c… |
| 07-02 15:17:46 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xa2dac2… |
| 07-02 15:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa2dac2… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x8eb671… |
| 07-02 02:29:11 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x90cd06… |
| 07-02 02:29:11 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x90cd06… |
| 06-29 13:03:44 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x1aaeb7… |
| 06-29 13:03:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x1aaeb7… |
| 06-24 20:39:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x8346df… |
| 06-24 20:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x8346df… |
| 06-24 20:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfea051… |
| 06-24 20:39:17 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfea051… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 36¢ | $26 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-22 19:44:05 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x8874f7… |
| 06-05 04:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xc7918a… |
| 06-05 04:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xc7918a… |
| 06-05 04:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x7b5bfb… |
| 06-05 04:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x7b5bfb… |
| 05-30 08:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x9c0013… |
| 05-30 08:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x993b…6509 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9c0013… |