Obvious-Impropriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

1,166

Trades

1,810

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-30 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

81% 31% -$13

Politics

11% 11% -$8

Sports

5% 56% +$3

Pop-Culture

2% 33% -$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	10-10 23:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+15	$2	3¢	$0	-$1	10-22 11:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	09-08 05:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	7	$161	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 02:12
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	4	$88	68	68	+0	open	—	06-14 00:47
will the liberals l be in the next swedish government	3	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	08-20 00:08
Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	3	$49	50	50	+0	No	-$2	08-14 14:58
Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	2	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	08-18 04:42
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-21 04:41
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 22 hours	3	$40	40	20	+20	Yes	+$0	08-21 06:25
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-21 15:26
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	6	$39	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	08-21 06:04
will drake release a new album by september 30	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-04 21:52
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	09-04 22:21
will mamdani say afford or affordable or affordability during his announcement 20260930	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-26 14:34
will felix auger aliassime advance to the semifinals in mens singles at the 2026 us open	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-25 22:57
will heidi overton be confirmed as fda commissioner by september 30	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-21 14:47
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	3	$30	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-17 18:14
linera listed on kraken within 30 days of tge	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	08-20 19:05
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours	4	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-20 23:46
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours	3	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 02:17
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 20 hours	6	$28	40	20	+20	Yes	-$5	08-21 06:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	8	$26	50	50	+0	No	+$20	09-09 14:28
linera listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	08-21 06:14
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	3	$25	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-18 23:17
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 24 hours	3	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 02:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	-$9	09-20 01:46
will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	2	$23	16	16	+0	No	+$0	08-25 01:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	-$7	09-20 14:43
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	4	$23	17	17	+0	No	+$0	08-29 00:40
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-16 03:18
will flop launch a token by june 30 2027	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	08-20 00:42
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 12?	3	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:54:22	Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x20ef01…
10-29 15:40:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5114fd…
10-29 01:27:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xff5ff8…
10-29 01:27:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe24d1f…
10-28 16:40:29	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd9013c…
10-22 11:12:17	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xed3da1…
10-21 03:33:57	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa85d96…
10-21 02:14:23	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfc8f15…
10-20 22:49:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x169675…
10-19 10:40:57	Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xa3de9f…
10-19 10:40:56	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x764c07…
10-19 05:10:59	Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2cabbe…
10-17 22:30:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xec448b…
10-17 21:36:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfd04db…
10-17 19:56:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x0e60a1…
10-17 19:17:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x80eb17…
10-16 08:03:51	Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xa05421…
10-13 05:15:27	Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xecf7be…
10-11 02:20:42	Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd2e1df…
10-10 23:53:33	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xced774…
10-10 19:16:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xdfa8cd…
10-10 18:45:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x68f699…
10-10 18:27:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7335e3…
10-07 12:34:07	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2caad1…
10-07 12:31:16	Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x32ed26…
10-01 22:35:17	will donald trump publicly insult abdul el sayed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x03e217…
10-01 22:03:56	Will Trump say "Egg" in October?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x530246…
10-01 22:03:45	Will Trump say "Egg" in October?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xee7bee…
10-01 21:10:30	will donald trump publicly insult james talarico by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc4cfeb…
10-01 20:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x269e46…
10-01 17:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa2ac9c…
10-01 16:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x754a5a…
10-01 14:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc91f8e…
10-01 06:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0b0b23…
10-01 06:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce0e18…
10-01 06:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe22af5…
10-01 05:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x14c302…
10-01 05:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x37589f…
10-01 05:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x28dc86…
10-01 03:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc8c75a…
10-01 00:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9da60d…
10-01 00:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x2dad35…
09-30 22:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa63646…
09-30 22:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3ea03e…
09-30 21:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x36e63a…
09-30 17:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x565105…
09-30 17:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb63235…
09-30 17:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3c5fb4…
09-30 16:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ad7de…
09-27 00:37:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbfdbd6…
09-26 22:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2c5b74…
09-26 20:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd70233…
09-26 18:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x08f099…
09-26 18:01:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbc4b1a…
09-26 17:34:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x442ee6…
09-26 07:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x115f9a…
09-26 06:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x779aee…
09-26 05:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3f22cb…
09-26 05:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x70694c…
09-26 05:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x51802a…
09-26 05:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa26df1…
09-26 03:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6361a0…
09-26 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbca13a…
09-26 03:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xae1eb5…
09-25 17:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd2117…
09-25 13:50:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1caab7…
09-25 12:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0742e6…
09-25 11:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x67f40e…
09-25 11:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xde2c32…
09-25 10:44:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfc49bd…
09-25 08:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3ddf70…
09-25 07:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x996f81…
09-25 06:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x19c35c…
09-25 06:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x71c3b0…
09-25 05:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x233c39…
09-25 05:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x5cf9bf…
09-25 05:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6923dd…
09-25 05:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc301da…
09-25 04:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x305a51…
09-25 04:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa0cfca…
09-25 03:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x02bfd3…
09-25 03:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x73c20b…
09-25 03:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xbd5eee…
09-25 03:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x96f246…
09-25 03:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb08854…
09-25 02:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x957bfa…
09-25 02:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xb3614b…
09-25 02:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xeffa61…
09-25 02:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x512f8e…
09-25 02:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x1020fc…
09-25 02:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x047769…
09-25 01:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10eb26…
09-25 01:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x322af4…
09-24 04:46:20	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x08f33c…
09-24 04:44:44	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x923e8b…
09-24 01:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x20da77…
09-23 19:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2915e9…
09-23 16:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xfa694e…
09-23 15:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xacfc3f…
09-23 15:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x08506f…