Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$511

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

1,121

Trades

5,239

lifetime

Volume

$241.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$100

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-28 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

72% 48% -$826

Politics

22% 49% +$390

Crypto

4% 50% +$56

Tech

2% 44% -$127

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+64	$54	99¢	$63	+$9	10-12 16:36
over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	No	+241	$50	10¢	$23	-$27	10-17 03:03
over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes	+14	$11	90¢	$13	+$2	10-17 03:08
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+64	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	10-12 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	33	$15.3K	8,980	7,876	+1,105	No	+$530	08-29 18:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$5.7K	3,980	2,500	+1,480	Yes	+$98	08-12 03:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	12	$5.4K	2,741	2,741	+0	Yes	+$41	08-10 23:16
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	6	$4.2K	3,089	3,089	+0	No	-$77	07-04 10:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	8	$4.0K	3,500	3,000	+500	Yes	+$75	08-02 14:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$4	07-26 05:15
spy closes above 765 on july 28 2026	2	$3.8K	3,784	0	+3,784	No	+$4	07-28 18:39
spy closes above 720 on july 24 2026	4	$3.7K	3,697	0	+3,697	Yes	+$4	07-24 15:50
spy closes above 720 on july 22 2026	1	$3.7K	3,672	0	+3,672	Yes	+$4	07-22 15:34
spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	1	$3.6K	3,622	0	+3,622	Yes	+$4	07-21 15:32
spy closes above 725 on july 23 2026	2	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	Yes	+$144	07-23 15:28
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	11	$3.3K	3,467	0	+3,467	No	+$27	09-24 15:58
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	1	$3.3K	3,301	0	+3,301	No	+$10	08-01 02:54
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	9	$3.2K	1,722	1,721	+0	Yes	-$34	07-07 14:42
wti closes above 72 on august 5 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	08-05 20:49
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	2	$3.0K	2,985	0	+2,985	Up	+$12	08-03 13:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	17	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	No	+$25	08-15 13:42
trump approval rating at least 37pt2 on october 16 2026	23	$2.8K	3,273	73	+3,200	Yes	+$439	10-16 15:36
ethereum above 1900 on august 1 2026	1	$2.8K	2,776	0	+2,776	No	+$11	08-01 15:50
spy closes above 740 on august 4 2026	1	$2.7K	2,706	0	+2,706	Yes	+$3	08-04 17:39
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	14	$2.4K	2,384	525	+1,858	No	+$344	08-12 04:32
Will Trump say "Genius" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$2.4K	2,375	0	+2,375	No	+$2	09-24 15:58
wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	7	$2.2K	1,497	910	+586	Yes	+$47	07-08 07:30
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	21	$2.0K	2,437	654	+1,783	No	-$18	10-26 17:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	12	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$11	08-21 11:02
Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	4	$1.6K	1,645	0	+1,645	No	+$2	09-26 14:11
will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$1.6K	1,627	0	+1,627	No	+$24	08-03 03:04
xauusd up or down on july 9 2026	1	$1.6K	1,575	0	+1,575	Up	+$3	07-09 20:35
spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	13	$1.6K	934	719	+215	Up	+$9	06-18 07:14
wti closes above 87 on july 24 2026	4	$1.6K	872	872	+0	Yes	-$105	07-24 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:57:28	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x297ecc…
10-28 16:56:20	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdd332e…
10-28 16:54:28	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe538be…
10-28 16:54:10	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x7cb6ab…
10-28 16:45:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x71459d…
10-28 16:32:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xb94d3a…
10-28 15:56:50	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0x4a4c9b…
10-28 15:54:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	4¢	$8	0x1f09cd…
10-28 15:52:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	4¢	$7	0x36feba…
10-28 15:45:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x452e47…
10-28 15:32:49	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x71e305…
10-28 15:32:44	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x30d4c7…
10-28 15:32:44	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x102235…
10-28 15:28:38	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	91¢	$103	0xd1189c…
10-28 15:23:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	343	93¢	$319	0xb10611…
10-28 15:08:28	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	158	42¢	$66	0x49886c…
10-28 15:08:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7ecae7…
10-28 14:13:40	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x35894a…
10-28 14:12:59	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xfc287c…
10-28 14:00:55	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb4bbff…
10-28 13:59:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x58d7b0…
10-28 13:30:10	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xc6a96f…
10-28 13:25:52	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x74bf82…
10-28 13:21:37	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xad7c95…
10-28 13:13:25	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf02980…
10-28 13:09:53	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2b8cbb…
10-28 13:03:11	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1eea4c…
10-28 12:51:43	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xd4133d…
10-28 12:10:49	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x99250d…
10-28 12:10:23	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x3effde…
10-28 12:09:31	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x49cbb6…
10-28 11:48:05	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	12¢	$10	0x639222…
10-28 11:38:34	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x447aac…
10-28 11:33:22	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9a87ca…
10-28 11:23:31	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2668f4…
10-28 11:21:17	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xc359ed…
10-28 11:19:59	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x750801…
10-28 11:04:31	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xd4cdab…
10-28 11:04:17	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x912de6…
10-28 11:03:53	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x5720e8…
10-28 10:56:20	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x150340…
10-28 10:53:31	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x224153…
10-28 10:50:13	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa1cbf8…
10-28 10:48:41	Will MongoDB (MDB) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	82¢	$66	0xf8fcf6…
10-28 10:45:07	Will MongoDB (MDB) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	19¢	$15	0xc59c52…
10-28 10:41:55	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x8bbb00…
10-28 10:37:38	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x6b7c0b…
10-28 10:37:34	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdb5e5f…
10-28 10:20:35	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1f9916…
10-28 10:08:50	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2e87e3…
10-28 10:06:43	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa278ed…
10-28 10:06:41	Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x71191b…
10-28 10:06:32	Will MongoDB (MDB) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x8891be…
10-28 09:41:04	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x76e279…
10-28 09:31:46	Will MongoDB (MDB) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xed71a5…
10-28 09:31:43	Will MongoDB (MDB) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xf90ea0…
10-28 08:32:26	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x70ac1f…
10-28 07:51:25	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe4dbab…
10-28 07:42:02	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	107	91¢	$98	0x32f55e…
10-28 07:35:56	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfec322…
10-28 07:34:23	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xdc6770…
10-28 07:30:37	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x7d08e3…
10-28 07:29:43	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	73¢	$87	0x254b9e…
10-28 06:32:37	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x13f280…
10-28 06:03:14	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x171d5d…
10-28 06:03:08	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdf151d…
10-28 04:38:22	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x08da2b…
10-28 04:28:20	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb10ac4…
10-28 03:55:25	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5ba86a…
10-28 03:46:27	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf7c691…
10-28 03:44:34	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x4eba12…
10-28 03:07:48	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xaf2a49…
10-28 02:41:51	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xe8189a…
10-28 01:26:08	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0x9baaa0…
10-28 00:18:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	253	73¢	$185	0xb04e74…
10-28 00:07:33	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x2424e4…
10-27 23:57:00	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	91	36¢	$33	0x25afe1…
10-27 21:19:54	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x45e47a…
10-27 20:44:18	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	149	44¢	$66	0x87a8cb…
10-27 20:34:26	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0xe39b31…
10-27 20:31:02	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc79505…
10-27 19:51:11	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x87f47f…
10-27 18:27:00	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa59997…
10-27 18:02:05	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb098a4…
10-27 17:58:32	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbdb020…
10-27 17:42:09	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x3769cd…
10-27 16:54:39	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xa8102d…
10-27 16:41:03	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xf04913…
10-27 16:19:02	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x99a8b1…
10-27 16:19:00	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	165	38¢	$64	0x17da3a…
10-27 16:04:24	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x110c4f…
10-27 15:54:24	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x538cb6…
10-27 15:49:53	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x482dce…
10-27 15:49:35	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa9ccf7…
10-27 15:40:14	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x643dea…
10-27 15:34:20	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$117	0x3be923…
10-27 15:18:41	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2a24e8…
10-27 13:59:30	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x182f27…
10-27 13:53:15	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xbeae3c…
10-27 13:53:06	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x9b8685…