Realized P&L (24h)
+$450
Unrealized P&L
+$3.89K
Hit rate
24.5%
Resolved (24h)
14
Trades (24h)
34
6,390 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.45K
$280.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$13.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 11-12 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
74% 47% -$949
Politics
20% 53% +$548
Crypto
3% 50% +$56
Tech
3% 45% +$353
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? No +4,012 $750 100¢ $4.0K +$3,258 11-06 10:07
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +1,020 $958 93¢ $946 -$11 11-01 04:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.66T by November 30? No +750 $682 95¢ $712 +$30 11-06 13:07
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +761 $679 92¢ $701 +$22 11-10 12:35
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +591 $499 99¢ $583 +$84 11-10 17:32
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +614 $566 89¢ $545 -$21 11-12 13:58
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +556 $455 93¢ $518 +$63 11-11 01:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? No +500 $471 100¢ $498 +$27 10-28 16:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? Yes +604 $514 80¢ $483 -$31 11-08 08:14
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +390 $309 99¢ $386 +$77 11-10 17:32
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +400 $364 84¢ $338 -$26 11-09 03:22
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +346 $99 86¢ $296 +$197 11-11 01:54
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +300 $197 96¢ $288 +$91 11-06 05:09
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31? No +300 $258 91¢ $273 +$15 11-04 05:46
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November? No +262 $230 99¢ $259 +$29 11-06 17:29
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026? No +294 $269 87¢ $255 -$14 11-12 12:22
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +462 $336 52¢ $240 -$95 11-10 12:54
Will "AI / Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines on Sunday? No +362 $182 64¢ $233 +$52 11-07 04:26
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +252 $202 92¢ $230 +$28 11-11 06:06
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +257 $163 89¢ $229 +$66 11-07 08:02
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +212 $190 98¢ $209 +$19 10-23 22:39
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +210 $193 99¢ $208 +$15 10-29 05:25
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +608 $352 34¢ $204 -$148 11-10 12:20
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? Yes +200 $184 100¢ $200 +$16 10-29 01:03
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026? Yes +215 $157 80¢ $173 +$17 11-11 16:40
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $168 85¢ $170 +$2 11-11 08:14
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? No +230 $92 71¢ $163 +$71 11-05 20:09
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +200 $149 80¢ $159 +$10 11-10 17:22
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +160 $157 98¢ $158 +$0 11-10 11:45
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? No +155 $105 99¢ $153 +$48 10-29 08:18