Realized P&L (24h)
+$2.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$954
Hit rate
37.9%
Resolved (24h)
23
Trades (24h)
35
6,414 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.68K
$281.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$10.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 11-13 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
74% 48% +$2,228
Politics
20% 53% +$548
Crypto
3% 50% +$56
Tech
3% 33% +$274
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +1,020 $958 93¢ $946 -$11 11-01 04:39
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +761 $679 99¢ $756 +$77 11-10 12:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.66T by November 30? No +750 $682 95¢ $712 +$30 11-06 13:07
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +591 $499 99¢ $585 +$86 11-10 17:32
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +614 $566 92¢ $567 +$1 11-12 13:58
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +556 $455 94¢ $520 +$66 11-11 01:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? No +500 $471 100¢ $498 +$27 10-28 16:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? Yes +604 $514 80¢ $486 -$28 11-08 08:14
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +390 $309 99¢ $386 +$77 11-10 17:32
Will Elon Musk appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial? No +395 $370 94¢ $373 +$3 11-13 05:54
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +400 $364 82¢ $330 -$34 11-09 03:22
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +346 $99 94¢ $325 +$226 11-11 01:54
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +300 $197 96¢ $288 +$91 11-06 05:09
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31? No +300 $258 91¢ $273 +$15 11-04 05:46
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026? No +294 $269 90¢ $266 -$3 11-12 12:22
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November? No +262 $230 99¢ $259 +$29 11-06 17:29
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +462 $336 52¢ $240 -$95 11-10 12:54
Will "AI / Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines on Sunday? No +362 $182 64¢ $233 +$52 11-07 04:26
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +252 $202 92¢ $230 +$28 11-11 06:06
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +257 $163 89¢ $229 +$66 11-07 08:02
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +212 $190 98¢ $209 +$19 10-23 22:39
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +608 $352 34¢ $204 -$148 11-10 12:20
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%? No +273 $83 71¢ $194 +$111 11-07 15:57
Will 7 or more Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31? No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 11-13 00:23
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $168 85¢ $170 +$2 11-11 08:14
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026? Yes +215 $157 78¢ $168 +$11 11-11 16:40
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? No +230 $92 71¢ $164 +$71 11-05 20:09
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +235 $59 70¢ $163 +$104 11-10 10:32
Will Gemini Krypton debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +191 $135 86¢ $163 +$28 11-11 08:07
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +239 $107 66¢ $159 +$52 11-12 20:38