Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$566

Unrealized P&L

+$48

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

1,158

Trades

5,485

lifetime

Volume

$255.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$432

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 11-01 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

73% 47% -$868

Politics

21% 50% +$387

Crypto

4% 50% +$56

Tech

3% 40% -$136

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	+554	$321	66¢	$368	+$48	10-30 04:03
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+64	$54	100¢	$64	+$9	10-12 16:36
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+64	$10	0¢	$0	-$9	10-12 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	33	$15.3K	8,980	7,876	+1,105	No	+$530	08-29 18:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$5.7K	3,980	2,500	+1,480	Yes	+$98	08-12 03:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	12	$5.4K	2,741	2,741	+0	Yes	+$41	08-10 23:16
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	6	$4.2K	3,089	3,089	+0	No	-$77	07-04 10:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	8	$4.0K	3,500	3,000	+500	Yes	+$75	08-02 14:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$4	07-26 05:15
spy closes above 765 on july 28 2026	2	$3.8K	3,784	0	+3,784	No	+$4	07-28 18:39
spy closes above 720 on july 24 2026	4	$3.7K	3,697	0	+3,697	Yes	+$4	07-24 15:50
spy closes above 720 on july 22 2026	1	$3.7K	3,672	0	+3,672	Yes	+$4	07-22 15:34
spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	1	$3.6K	3,622	0	+3,622	Yes	+$4	07-21 15:32
spy closes above 725 on july 23 2026	2	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	Yes	+$144	07-23 15:28
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	11	$3.3K	3,467	0	+3,467	No	+$27	09-24 15:58
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	1	$3.3K	3,301	0	+3,301	No	+$10	08-01 02:54
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	9	$3.2K	1,722	1,721	+0	Yes	-$34	07-07 14:42
wti closes above 72 on august 5 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	08-05 20:49
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	2	$3.0K	2,985	0	+2,985	Up	+$12	08-03 13:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	17	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	No	+$25	08-15 13:42
trump approval rating at least 37pt2 on october 16 2026	23	$2.8K	3,273	73	+3,200	Yes	+$439	10-16 15:36
ethereum above 1900 on august 1 2026	1	$2.8K	2,776	0	+2,776	No	+$11	08-01 15:50
spy closes above 740 on august 4 2026	1	$2.7K	2,706	0	+2,706	Yes	+$3	08-04 17:39
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	14	$2.4K	2,384	525	+1,858	No	+$344	08-12 04:32
Will Trump say "Genius" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$2.4K	2,375	0	+2,375	No	+$2	09-24 15:58
wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	7	$2.2K	1,497	910	+586	Yes	+$47	07-08 07:30
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	21	$2.0K	2,437	654	+1,783	No	-$18	10-26 17:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	12	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$11	08-21 11:02
Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	4	$1.6K	1,645	0	+1,645	No	+$2	09-26 14:11
will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$1.6K	1,627	0	+1,627	No	+$24	08-03 03:04
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	14	$1.6K	2,340	300	+2,039	open	—	11-01 04:39
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	14	$1.6K	2,281	0	+2,281	open	—	10-29 19:30
xauusd up or down on july 9 2026	1	$1.6K	1,575	0	+1,575	Up	+$3	07-09 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:13:15	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x41196e…
11-01 12:12:22	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x8013b1…
11-01 04:39:48	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xaa3e65…
11-01 03:51:33	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x28e9cf…
11-01 00:38:43	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$33	0xaaa076…
11-01 00:35:04	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xe94d56…
11-01 00:07:45	Will Rafael Lenhard advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xcd5562…
11-01 00:06:16	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$9	0xffe6ee…
10-31 22:15:46	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$468	0x6e20d7…
10-31 21:53:09	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe68410…
10-31 21:51:42	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	161	24¢	$39	0xb3b872…
10-31 21:49:33	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	180	44¢	$80	0x4010c0…
10-31 21:47:36	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	506	7¢	$34	0xb87cb0…
10-31 21:46:34	Will Dylan Frazier advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	42	63¢	$27	0xdc6f4c…
10-31 21:45:42	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x3c409f…
10-31 18:43:09	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc98e45…
10-31 18:38:12	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	195	94¢	$183	0xabdcdd…
10-31 18:37:28	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	255	94¢	$238	0xe616e9…
10-31 18:37:27	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd8633c…
10-31 18:26:01	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6f37e7…
10-31 18:25:55	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x417158…
10-31 18:15:55	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x345e95…
10-31 18:10:34	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	252	18¢	$46	0x775b17…
10-31 18:07:10	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbe5eb8…
10-31 17:52:19	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab56a7…
10-31 17:44:51	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5841be…
10-31 17:44:49	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x45296c…
10-31 17:09:58	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0xbdf820…
10-31 16:52:51	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb3a225…
10-31 16:52:19	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	312	5¢	$17	0x15df65…
10-31 16:52:09	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x30fb98…
10-31 16:36:03	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x5100da…
10-31 16:35:55	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x3f6935…
10-31 16:35:54	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x622109…
10-31 16:35:22	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	460	18¢	$85	0x4bde55…
10-31 16:30:07	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b860e…
10-31 16:13:10	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0xc5dd5e…
10-31 16:12:31	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x8936a3…
10-31 16:11:40	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	79	80¢	$63	0x675a99…
10-31 16:11:16	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xee4976…
10-31 16:10:55	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2895db…
10-31 16:09:34	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x94e592…
10-31 16:09:25	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	395	71¢	$281	0x89b66e…
10-31 15:35:31	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x66d6fa…
10-31 14:57:52	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa9553c…
10-31 14:57:15	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x177db9…
10-31 14:34:55	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x896661…
10-31 14:13:04	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x45ae39…
10-31 13:01:13	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6eeab5…
10-31 13:00:31	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x68f4d7…
10-31 12:43:18	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7fdb94…
10-31 12:43:06	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbfd4cc…
10-31 12:42:31	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xaaf9f4…
10-31 12:38:15	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xafc50a…
10-31 11:37:43	Will Dylan Frazier advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xad1b58…
10-31 10:09:15	Will Dylan Frazier advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x9ea209…
10-31 09:29:10	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0x15fae4…
10-31 09:21:58	Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	255	75¢	$190	0x86964e…
10-31 09:13:37	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x4deff2…
10-31 07:03:48	Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xeeb483…
10-31 04:47:31	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x88c23b…
10-31 04:39:13	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x4408c9…
10-31 03:56:25	github com critical incident by november 6 2026 20261030	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xc3eb19…
10-31 03:31:51	github com critical incident by november 6 2026 20261030	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x553f48…
10-31 03:30:36	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	469	37¢	$172	0x4b8334…
10-31 02:54:24	Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8e07ba…
10-31 02:30:07	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0x1a70bc…
10-31 02:29:54	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0xaccf95…
10-31 02:23:19	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x76848e…
10-31 02:23:12	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x4e4aa4…
10-31 02:17:01	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x780d54…
10-31 02:10:36	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x04978a…
10-31 02:10:18	Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xe9d040…
10-31 02:09:52	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$286	0xd758b3…
10-31 02:06:10	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0xa510c4…
10-31 02:05:24	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xa56fd7…
10-31 02:04:28	Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xb134dc…
10-31 01:43:09	Will Rafael Lenhard advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x327190…
10-30 22:40:27	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	436	58¢	$255	0xc56fa4…
10-30 20:23:27	Will Connor Garnett advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0x24f5b9…
10-30 20:16:12	Will Hong Kit Wong advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xa31449…
10-30 20:15:19	Will Hong Kit Wong advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	370	13¢	$48	0xe0b0bf…
10-30 18:34:13	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf9b403…
10-30 16:55:46	Will Ben Johns advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x0e79c5…
10-30 16:52:12	Will Ben Johns advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	201	24¢	$48	0xd3e30e…
10-30 16:49:21	Will Eric Oncins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x937e4d…
10-30 16:46:49	Will Eric Oncins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x6795d7…
10-30 16:29:31	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xf8d6ac…
10-30 16:27:18	Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xf03c97…
10-30 16:27:18	Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x388eb4…
10-30 16:13:33	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe35770…
10-30 16:06:28	Will Eric Oncins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x558c1b…
10-30 15:52:46	Will Eric Oncins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x3a2254…
10-30 15:51:54	Will Grayson Goldin advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	141	51¢	$72	0x559fb6…
10-30 15:50:00	Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0xebc113…
10-30 15:01:13	Will Connor Garnett advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x42751a…
10-30 14:52:19	Will Grayson Goldin advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xaf706d…
10-30 14:50:28	Will Connor Garnett advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xe3f39e…
10-30 14:47:13	Will Dylan Frazier advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	160	53¢	$86	0xb58bbe…
10-30 14:46:27	Will Eric Oncins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x985758…