Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$260

Unrealized P&L

-$77

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

432

5,299 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$18.5K

$245.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$312

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-29 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

72% 48% -$874

Politics

21% 49% +$390

Crypto

4% 50% +$56

Tech

3% 44% -$127

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	+384	$227	55¢	$209	-$18	10-29 16:40
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+64	$54	99¢	$63	+$9	10-12 16:36
over 30m committed to the 1w public sale	No	+100	$37	15¢	$15	-$22	10-17 15:43
over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes	+14	$11	96¢	$14	+$3	10-17 03:08
over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	No	+241	$50	4¢	$11	-$39	10-17 03:03
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+64	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	10-12 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	33	$15.3K	8,980	7,876	+1,105	No	+$530	08-29 18:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$5.7K	3,980	2,500	+1,480	Yes	+$98	08-12 03:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	12	$5.4K	2,741	2,741	+0	Yes	+$41	08-10 23:16
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	6	$4.2K	3,089	3,089	+0	No	-$77	07-04 10:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	8	$4.0K	3,500	3,000	+500	Yes	+$75	08-02 14:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$4	07-26 05:15
spy closes above 765 on july 28 2026	2	$3.8K	3,784	0	+3,784	No	+$4	07-28 18:39
spy closes above 720 on july 24 2026	4	$3.7K	3,697	0	+3,697	Yes	+$4	07-24 15:50
spy closes above 720 on july 22 2026	1	$3.7K	3,672	0	+3,672	Yes	+$4	07-22 15:34
spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	1	$3.6K	3,622	0	+3,622	Yes	+$4	07-21 15:32
spy closes above 725 on july 23 2026	2	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	Yes	+$144	07-23 15:28
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	11	$3.3K	3,467	0	+3,467	No	+$27	09-24 15:58
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	1	$3.3K	3,301	0	+3,301	No	+$10	08-01 02:54
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	9	$3.2K	1,722	1,721	+0	Yes	-$34	07-07 14:42
wti closes above 72 on august 5 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	08-05 20:49
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	2	$3.0K	2,985	0	+2,985	Up	+$12	08-03 13:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	17	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	No	+$25	08-15 13:42
trump approval rating at least 37pt2 on october 16 2026	23	$2.8K	3,273	73	+3,200	Yes	+$439	10-16 15:36
ethereum above 1900 on august 1 2026	1	$2.8K	2,776	0	+2,776	No	+$11	08-01 15:50
spy closes above 740 on august 4 2026	1	$2.7K	2,706	0	+2,706	Yes	+$3	08-04 17:39
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	14	$2.4K	2,384	525	+1,858	No	+$344	08-12 04:32
Will Trump say "Genius" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$2.4K	2,375	0	+2,375	No	+$2	09-24 15:58
wti closes above 69 on july 8 2026	7	$2.2K	1,497	910	+586	Yes	+$47	07-08 07:30
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	21	$2.0K	2,437	654	+1,783	No	-$18	10-26 17:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	12	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$11	08-21 11:02
Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	4	$1.6K	1,645	0	+1,645	No	+$2	09-26 14:11
will solana dip to 70 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$1.6K	1,627	0	+1,627	No	+$24	08-03 03:04
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	14	$1.6K	2,281	0	+2,281	open	—	10-29 19:30
xauusd up or down on july 9 2026	1	$1.6K	1,575	0	+1,575	Up	+$3	07-09 20:35
spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	13	$1.6K	934	719	+215	Up	+$9	06-18 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:30:40	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x57de71…
10-29 17:37:46	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x6fa9d4…
10-29 16:45:20	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x5c0088…
10-29 16:43:55	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x956705…
10-29 16:40:35	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	384	59¢	$227	0xbc3467…
10-29 16:37:29	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x3e6ae8…
10-29 14:21:10	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	1,523	18¢	$271	0x84cb35…
10-29 14:02:16	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	70	35¢	$24	0x3e7dd9…
10-29 13:47:10	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe0d987…
10-29 13:46:46	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5cf60f…
10-29 13:26:17	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x77b320…
10-29 13:02:55	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0xe3a864…
10-29 13:01:08	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x83e0a1…
10-29 12:57:46	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xafe40f…
10-29 12:56:29	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x7290e5…
10-29 12:54:34	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x89f929…
10-29 12:54:04	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x5409ec…
10-29 12:40:32	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x59a78a…
10-29 12:13:16	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x38e69f…
10-29 12:06:07	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0f1af2…
10-29 12:01:28	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa079c8…
10-29 11:49:37	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xdad1c9…
10-29 11:16:43	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	84	22¢	$18	0xd1e968…
10-29 11:15:19	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x95cb32…
10-29 10:43:10	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x49e044…
10-29 10:40:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x51fd34…
10-29 10:13:11	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,242	85¢	$1,057	0x7f1b06…
10-29 08:18:05	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xf2c6fc…
10-29 08:14:07	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x076bfd…
10-29 07:48:19	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0xab466e…
10-29 07:24:22	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	360	28¢	$101	0x1ae687…
10-29 06:01:05	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xec0a8c…
10-29 05:25:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	210	91¢	$191	0x794037…
10-29 05:01:26	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x829346…
10-29 05:01:26	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1368c3…
10-29 04:51:20	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x64a869…
10-29 04:06:35	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x1917cb…
10-29 04:00:19	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x439691…
10-29 03:50:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0e33b6…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$13	0xe847ec…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xd01bf0…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xcd856a…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x8ab71c…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x69f455…
10-29 03:48:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	472	83¢	$391	0x2b1c8d…
10-29 03:08:50	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2300 on October 29?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1a7246…
10-29 02:57:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	272	79¢	$215	0x9e9634…
10-29 02:43:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0xc79d9e…
10-29 02:43:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	183	78¢	$143	0x9f9585…
10-29 02:34:44	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2300 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x82bea7…
10-29 01:44:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	110	14¢	$15	0x67069c…
10-29 01:24:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x116d22…
10-29 01:19:43	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd840d3…
10-29 01:07:32	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc2b3f8…
10-29 01:03:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x414bac…
10-29 00:57:52	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xf6534d…
10-29 00:25:08	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x0a7b41…
10-29 00:23:49	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe23125…
10-29 00:12:38	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbf9b0f…
10-29 00:10:43	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	405	82¢	$333	0xd43e15…
10-28 16:57:28	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x297ecc…
10-28 16:56:20	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdd332e…
10-28 16:54:28	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe538be…
10-28 16:54:10	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x7cb6ab…
10-28 16:45:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x71459d…
10-28 16:32:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xb94d3a…
10-28 15:56:50	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0x4a4c9b…
10-28 15:54:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	4¢	$8	0x1f09cd…
10-28 15:52:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	4¢	$7	0x36feba…
10-28 15:45:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x452e47…
10-28 15:32:49	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x71e305…
10-28 15:32:44	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x30d4c7…
10-28 15:32:44	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x102235…
10-28 15:28:38	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	91¢	$103	0xd1189c…
10-28 15:23:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	343	93¢	$319	0xb10611…
10-28 15:08:28	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	158	42¢	$66	0x49886c…
10-28 15:08:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7ecae7…
10-28 14:13:40	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x35894a…
10-28 14:12:59	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xfc287c…
10-28 14:00:55	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb4bbff…
10-28 13:59:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x58d7b0…
10-28 13:30:10	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xc6a96f…
10-28 13:25:52	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x74bf82…
10-28 13:21:37	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xad7c95…
10-28 13:13:25	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf02980…
10-28 13:09:53	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2b8cbb…
10-28 13:03:11	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1eea4c…
10-28 12:51:43	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xd4133d…
10-28 12:10:49	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x99250d…
10-28 12:10:23	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x3effde…
10-28 12:09:31	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x49cbb6…
10-28 11:48:05	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	12¢	$10	0x639222…
10-28 11:38:34	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x447aac…
10-28 11:33:22	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9a87ca…
10-28 11:23:31	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2668f4…
10-28 11:21:17	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xc359ed…
10-28 11:19:59	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x750801…
10-28 11:04:31	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xd4cdab…
10-28 11:04:17	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x912de6…
10-28 11:03:53	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x5720e8…