Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
255
Trades
740
lifetime
Volume
$4.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$233
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-31 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
51% 39% -$136
Other
48% 52% +$164
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 50% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +27 -$15 70¢ $19 +$34 09-13 19:35
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $5 93¢ $19 +$13 09-17 19:24
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $15 71¢ $15 +$0 10-31 07:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 62¢ $12 -$1 10-31 07:56
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$0 10-31 07:52
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-31 07:53
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:53
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:52
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:55
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:53
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:56
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:57
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:56
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-31 07:55
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-31 07:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 10-31 07:55
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +28 $4 18¢ $5 +$0 10-25 08:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 09-21 16:11
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $5 28¢ $5 +$0 10-20 07:27
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $5 16¢ $5 $0 09-15 05:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $5 29¢ $5 $0 09-15 18:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +5 $4 55¢ $3 -$1 10-24 21:11
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +10 -$9 26¢ $3 +$12 09-15 05:12
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $5 22¢ $2 -$2 10-20 07:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 20¢ $2 -$3 09-15 05:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$16 3¢ $-1 +$15 05-11 19:29
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +60 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 05-01 08:25
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 04-30 22:20