Realized P&L
-$619
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
2,748
Trades
3,407
lifetime
Volume
$25.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$43
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-02 04:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 83% -$431
Politics
22% 54% -$201
Other
2% 54% +$23
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$1 07-12 05:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-12 04:55
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-12 05:02
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +3 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 07-12 05:02
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 10-06 01:51
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 10-06 01:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-12 05:02
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-12 05:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 07-12 05:02
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 10-06 01:51
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 88¢ $2 $0 10-06 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 08-06 02:05
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-06 01:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 07-12 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-06 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 10-06 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-06 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-07 01:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2 $2 62¢ $2 $0 07-12 05:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2 $2 58¢ $1 -$1 07-12 05:02
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3 $2 50¢ $1 -$1 07-12 05:02
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +3 $2 46¢ $1 -$1 07-13 13:46