Faint-Cereal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$5.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-11 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-12

Politics

43% 50% $-11

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$646	330	330	+0	open	—	04-14 08:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$425	214	214	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$328	268	268	+0	open	—	04-27 07:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$267	150	150	+0	open	—	04-14 07:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$235	400	443	-43	No	$-12	05-04 10:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$217	139	139	+0	Up	$-12	05-04 12:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 11:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 05:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 07:09
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 02:59
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$156	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 18:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	6	$130	136	136	+0	open	—	06-02 04:45
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	11	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	07-16 07:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$95	1,123	1,123	+0	open	—	05-23 14:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	07-09 05:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	5	$85	200	107	+93	open	—	03-26 10:57
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	14	$80	105	105	+0	open	—	03-18 19:52
will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	2	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	07-27 12:27
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	5	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 15:03
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	8	$76	80	80	+0	open	—	07-16 07:37
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	5	$64	175	150	+25	open	—	03-18 19:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-03 11:32
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 05:48
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	05-29 05:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	2	$51	75	75	+0	open	—	03-24 11:08
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	5	$50	60	60	+0	open	—	08-04 04:51
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	05-01 18:31
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 10:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$47	100	200	-100	open	—	03-18 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:08:33	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8db56e…
08-11 04:02:34	will kai or speed die to an iron golem 20260806175301192	No	SELL	8	73¢	$5	0x1bc5ca…
08-10 22:41:16	will kai or speed die to an iron golem 20260806175301192	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0xafed78…
08-10 22:16:40	will kai or speed die to a witch 20260808122756578	No	SELL	18	76¢	$13	0x86272e…
08-10 22:16:39	will kai or speed die to a witch 20260808122756578	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x335450…
08-10 13:21:36	will kai or speed die to an iron golem 20260806175301192	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3e0e0b…
08-10 13:15:51	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0eea6d…
08-10 13:15:49	will kai or speed die to a witch 20260808122756578	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4e032a…
08-04 04:56:20	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xd7bf93…
08-04 04:55:59	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x3114ac…
08-04 04:55:51	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeb6f19…
08-04 04:54:36	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5a7c30…
08-04 04:53:20	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xedaf16…
08-04 04:52:14	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x323695…
08-04 04:51:42	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9ccee5…
08-04 04:50:38	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xcf809b…
08-04 04:44:36	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x95e159…
08-04 04:44:23	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xaefab5…
08-04 04:39:35	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0972ba…
08-04 04:37:59	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x951d98…
08-04 04:37:20	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe67a07…
07-27 12:31:39	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	SELL	39	24¢	$9	0x3fd0cf…
07-27 12:29:52	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x8d60d5…
07-27 12:28:54	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x8893c4…
07-27 12:27:48	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xc9690b…
07-27 12:26:24	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x7aa311…
07-27 12:26:00	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xd702b9…
07-27 12:25:24	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2b72c3…
07-16 07:37:59	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x533232…
07-16 07:37:26	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xbdf51a…
07-16 07:37:05	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x5abc5c…
07-16 07:36:28	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1d7b44…
07-16 07:34:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xbdd279…
07-16 07:32:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x238018…
07-16 06:57:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb3c869…
07-16 06:52:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbf86f4…
07-16 06:43:29	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x3f0dd4…
07-16 06:42:34	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x96d114…
07-16 06:37:41	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xede40f…
07-16 06:29:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb5d5ef…
07-16 06:23:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x011261…
07-16 06:22:02	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xc0fa74…
07-16 06:21:52	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x451875…
07-16 06:21:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x6bb11b…
07-16 06:21:32	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x83b86f…
07-16 06:21:23	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb5b45a…
07-16 06:20:31	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xb2b664…
07-16 06:19:59	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x15726f…
07-16 06:18:10	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xcc22a3…
07-16 06:17:32	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x7d3116…
07-16 06:17:29	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x36364a…
07-16 06:14:26	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x06dab1…
07-16 06:13:29	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xffa0e6…
07-09 05:27:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x35e556…
07-09 05:25:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1a3469…
07-09 05:21:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xf2181a…
07-09 05:19:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7776d2…
07-09 04:20:37	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x230f95…
07-09 04:20:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x216b71…
06-30 10:47:23	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb86d58…
06-30 10:45:52	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x7997bc…
06-30 10:45:46	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x1c7a25…
06-30 10:45:40	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x62263e…
06-30 10:45:38	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf5a0ee…
06-30 10:45:38	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xea5148…
06-30 10:45:38	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd47886…
06-30 10:45:38	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x52b07c…
06-30 10:45:29	will the announcers say guadalajara during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526251	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x863bc6…
06-30 10:45:20	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x3a4417…
06-30 10:33:46	will the announcers say guadalajara during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526251	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x838400…
06-30 10:32:55	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfb0ab3…
06-30 10:27:41	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x924f69…
06-30 10:27:23	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xea9ca7…
06-30 10:22:23	will the announcers say enthusiasm during brazil vs japan 20260628222111472	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x426b01…
06-30 10:17:35	will the announcers say enthusiasm during brazil vs japan 20260628222111472	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdc909c…
06-22 13:32:32	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5b451e…
06-22 13:30:53	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0ec1d3…
06-17 08:00:13	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x877024…
06-17 07:57:28	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8cd93b…
06-16 04:16:43	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xfb99eb…
06-16 03:10:03	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x4d5393…
06-07 12:27:09	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x978d0a…
06-07 06:24:52	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0x404ae7…
06-07 05:52:51	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xc405a7…
06-07 05:48:10	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x981fa6…
06-07 05:32:34	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc28a60…
06-07 05:06:01	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb6fd06…
06-07 05:05:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf90f04…
06-07 04:35:09	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xa70a8a…
06-07 04:33:22	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb8dabe…
06-07 04:24:34	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa0ab02…
06-07 03:51:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	571	2¢	$11	0xc4b046…
06-03 15:14:46	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$5	0xd74f5a…
06-03 15:06:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	571	2¢	$12	0xa5bfb0…
06-03 14:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0xbc6005…
06-02 05:11:02	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x69b666…
06-02 05:10:18	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa7defe…
06-02 04:45:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x685157…
06-02 04:44:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc8a6ac…
06-02 04:44:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0xa504e7…