Faint-Cereal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-07 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-12

Politics

43% 50% $-11

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No		+120	$12	10¢	$12	+$0	05-28 03:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$646	330	330	+0	open	—	04-14 08:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$425	214	214	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$328	268	268	+0	open	—	04-27 07:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$267	150	150	+0	open	—	04-14 07:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$235	400	443	-43	No	$-12	05-04 10:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$217	139	139	+0	Up	$-12	05-04 12:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 11:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 05:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 07:09
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 02:59
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$156	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 18:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	6	$130	136	136	+0	open	—	06-02 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$95	1,123	1,123	+0	open	—	05-23 14:40
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	5	$85	200	107	+93	open	—	03-26 10:57
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	14	$80	105	105	+0	open	—	03-18 19:52
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	5	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 15:03
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	5	$64	175	150	+25	open	—	03-18 19:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-03 11:32
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 05:48
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	05-29 05:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	2	$51	75	75	+0	open	—	03-24 11:08
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	05-01 18:31
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 10:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$47	100	200	-100	open	—	03-18 20:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:44
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 14:56
will powell say affordability during march press conference 984	3	$40	55	55	+0	open	—	03-18 18:45
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 05:06
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:27:09	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x978d0a…
06-07 06:24:52	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$4	0x404ae7…
06-07 05:52:51	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xc405a7…
06-07 05:48:10	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x981fa6…
06-07 05:32:34	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc28a60…
06-07 05:06:01	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb6fd06…
06-07 05:05:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf90f04…
06-07 04:35:09	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xa70a8a…
06-07 04:33:22	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb8dabe…
06-07 04:24:34	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa0ab02…
06-07 03:51:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	571	2¢	$11	0xc4b046…
06-03 15:14:46	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$5	0xd74f5a…
06-03 15:06:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	571	2¢	$12	0xa5bfb0…
06-03 14:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0xbc6005…
06-02 05:11:02	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x69b666…
06-02 05:10:18	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa7defe…
06-02 04:45:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x685157…
06-02 04:44:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc8a6ac…
06-02 04:44:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0xa504e7…
06-02 04:44:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xc658cf…
06-02 04:43:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x185e5e…
06-02 04:37:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x7579ef…
06-02 04:33:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0xacc973…
06-02 04:32:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xd1f924…
05-29 14:56:45	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe5ce68…
05-29 10:20:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2728af…
05-29 09:08:23	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x889737…
05-29 09:05:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xbe605b…
05-29 07:46:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x8c1951…
05-29 07:23:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xeb8044…
05-29 07:17:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xdaf087…
05-29 07:07:01	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x641dc3…
05-29 06:54:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x46b9b0…
05-29 05:54:17	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xa57f37…
05-29 05:48:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf1ca99…
05-29 05:10:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfa05be…
05-29 05:09:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9cfb1d…
05-29 04:56:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x0b9436…
05-29 04:53:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x93847a…
05-28 03:46:39	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x636f74…
05-25 03:18:20	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0xec29f8…
05-23 15:55:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xa3f05e…
05-23 14:40:51	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4d693f…
05-23 14:40:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x28fe3d…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1dcd90…
05-22 14:26:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xc18da1…
05-22 14:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x84942b…
05-17 17:25:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x780b92…
05-16 18:43:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5545c6…
05-16 16:51:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb090fa…
05-16 15:26:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x31ba9a…
05-16 13:36:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x306595…
05-16 13:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf4b9c8…
05-16 13:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x84ac38…
05-16 13:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bf9e1…
05-16 13:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x32ea5b…
05-16 10:34:20	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x4fa2db…
05-16 10:32:58	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x6cbb4f…
05-16 10:26:52	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xdf5c52…
05-16 10:16:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x30cd52…
05-15 19:57:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0012b0…
05-15 19:57:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x04a0ef…
05-15 19:49:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x93cabd…
05-15 13:44:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x8b3934…
05-15 13:43:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x727a0f…
05-15 13:42:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6049f9…
05-15 13:41:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x85a7cb…
05-15 13:18:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6b10ee…
05-15 12:56:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd5082b…
05-06 11:31:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,100	2¢	$23	0x286796…
05-06 07:09:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xdffa5b…
05-06 07:06:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x90d27e…
05-06 07:05:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a7b9c…
05-06 06:52:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x6f0330…
05-06 06:19:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,100	2¢	$26	0x284b3d…
05-06 06:05:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x697007…
05-06 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6bb351…
05-06 05:09:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x8f1119…
05-06 05:04:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x69e9bd…
05-05 11:18:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x600edb…
05-04 12:06:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0xd5a038…
05-04 12:05:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	39	73¢	$28	0x6d12ba…
05-04 12:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xb916ae…
05-04 11:48:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xff3e8c…
05-04 10:41:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	43	82¢	$35	0x6749cc…
05-04 10:31:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x3d3d0d…
05-04 10:31:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x3f7821…
05-04 10:23:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xc2e475…
05-04 10:22:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x23a9a2…
05-01 18:51:04	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	135	3¢	$4	0x1727b4…
05-01 18:31:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xe9ab59…
04-28 01:37:04	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x59ed94…
04-28 01:26:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x9bdc59…
04-28 01:21:26	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa0858d…
04-27 07:31:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xc87f7b…
04-27 05:36:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1ba49f…
04-27 02:59:22	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x7b5c0e…
04-27 02:29:16	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x88d772…
04-27 02:25:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	68	63¢	$43	0xc13d7f…
04-27 02:24:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$43	0x7efebd…