Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
5,648
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$41
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-30 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$22
Sports
17%
Politics
15%
Crypto
13%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 816 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +11 $6 60¢ $7 +$0 06-28 04:53
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $4 43¢ $6 +$2 06-28 08:53
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes -140 $-11 $-5 +$6 06-06 13:24
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-27 18:13
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-07 23:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -27 $-2 11¢ $-3 $-1 06-19 15:32
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 $-0 06-27 05:39
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +5 $2 28¢ $1 $-0 06-26 17:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -1 $-4 100¢ $-1 +$2 06-14 21:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-28 18:55
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -258 $-15 $-1 +$14 06-06 13:24
Bill Gates charged by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-08 22:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 06-27 21:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 06-26 00:02
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 06-24 21:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 08:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -159 $-16 $-0 +$16 06-06 13:24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 13:56