Rubbery-Festival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,372

lifetime

Volume

$234.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-01 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

67% 65% $-454

Politics

30% 100% +$129

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	82	$10.2K	9,764	1,684	+8,080	open	—	03-26 02:27
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	27	$7.9K	4,618	3,982	+637	open	—	04-21 16:03
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	38	$7.0K	7,740	0	+7,740	open	—	04-30 09:03
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	20	$5.6K	5,792	1,509	+4,284	open	—	06-15 14:14
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 5pt43	18	$5.0K	2,606	2,606	+0	open	—	04-14 13:03
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	18	$4.1K	4,169	691	+3,478	open	—	04-30 10:20
gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	31	$3.9K	4,314	0	+4,314	open	—	04-24 15:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	27	$3.7K	2,220	3,220	-1,000	open	—	03-30 23:28
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	17	$3.5K	2,134	1,900	+234	open	—	04-28 20:10
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	22	$3.2K	3,522	0	+3,522	open	—	04-29 14:25
acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 19 2026 2pt85	8	$3.2K	1,675	1,675	+0	open	—	03-19 13:11
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	37	$3.2K	2,352	2,446	-93	open	—	04-16 22:42
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt68	19	$3.0K	3,418	0	+3,418	open	—	04-14 10:28
dow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 neg0pt30	20	$2.8K	1,562	1,549	+13	open	—	04-23 11:59
intc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 0	19	$2.7K	3,017	0	+3,017	open	—	04-23 13:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$2.6K	3,410	3,200	+210	open	—	06-15 09:32
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	17	$2.6K	1,323	1,434	-111	open	—	03-09 11:53
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	11	$2.6K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	04-13 15:08
will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	9	$2.5K	1,536	1,114	+421	open	—	03-09 18:48
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	19	$2.5K	2,688	0	+2,688	Yes	+$208	05-05 19:42
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	8	$2.5K	2,643	0	+2,643	open	—	01-30 14:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	18	$2.4K	2,525	2,525	+0	open	—	04-29 04:35
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-31 12:09
fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 4pt08	34	$2.4K	1,662	831	+831	open	—	03-19 23:29
will velichie velichie win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	15	$2.3K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	04-21 14:01
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	13	$2.3K	2,483	0	+2,483	open	—	04-28 04:44
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	9	$2.2K	1,021	1,300	-279	open	—	03-01 08:08
axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	9	$2.2K	1,466	900	+566	open	—	04-23 12:05
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	15	$2.1K	2,330	0	+2,330	open	—	02-24 14:00
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	10	$2.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-23 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:02:20	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xa8f84c…
07-01 16:21:59	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x528472…
07-01 16:18:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8567c8…
07-01 07:59:50	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 2pt68	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xdcd8f0…
07-01 07:40:04	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 2pt68	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa86bc7…
06-25 16:55:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf31e77…
06-23 12:27:19	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 23 2026 5pt91	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x50f46c…
06-16 12:37:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x68b780…
06-15 16:04:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0xa2fd08…
06-15 14:14:51	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	1,509	100¢	$1,507	0x3b49a4…
06-15 14:13:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xc0327b…
06-15 09:32:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	800	6¢	$48	0x86d7a4…
06-15 07:03:25	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 23 2026 5pt91	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4723a1…
06-15 06:25:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x5488fc…
06-15 06:24:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	132	15¢	$20	0xc9895d…
06-15 06:24:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	208	15¢	$31	0x3c232b…
06-15 02:58:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	410	81¢	$332	0x67a067…
06-15 02:35:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x814c84…
06-15 02:34:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	325	20¢	$65	0x8e3107…
06-15 01:06:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	7¢	$105	0xe5dc8d…
06-14 23:43:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x66b407…
06-14 21:18:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	800	85¢	$680	0x83dce8…
06-14 19:02:01	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 23 2026 5pt91	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xfea7f5…
06-14 17:04:22	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	246	65¢	$160	0x25a5ac…
06-14 14:03:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	120	73¢	$88	0x93be02…
06-14 11:20:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	263	55¢	$145	0x26a40e…
06-14 10:01:24	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xcaf0ac…
06-14 09:56:37	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf5d353…
06-14 09:46:45	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x97471b…
06-14 07:53:30	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x9437a3…
06-14 03:49:42	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x72ced4…
06-13 22:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	137	55¢	$75	0x8125d3…
06-13 17:23:31	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x94121b…
06-13 17:23:07	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	86	66¢	$57	0x876e76…
06-13 15:43:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x3eae39…
06-13 14:18:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xb64f27…
06-13 13:48:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	486	52¢	$253	0x366ee5…
06-13 13:46:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x238867…
06-13 11:49:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x9839ed…
06-13 11:15:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xab31c0…
06-13 05:51:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x037899…
06-13 05:15:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	473	77¢	$364	0xf47b4a…
06-13 04:23:09	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x002344…
06-13 04:18:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xac8bf7…
06-13 04:01:51	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x91b901…
06-12 12:09:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xfcd446…
06-12 09:18:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0xdbf8d5…
06-12 08:49:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x59d719…
06-12 08:00:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	83	70¢	$58	0x43fc59…
06-12 08:00:18	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	117	70¢	$82	0xe47eb6…
06-12 07:59:12	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x86a030…
06-12 07:57:39	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x041de1…
06-12 06:08:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	86	78¢	$67	0x1ebdbe…
06-12 06:06:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0xfafa86…
06-12 03:37:48	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0x6f4366…
06-12 02:49:12	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x6f3f52…
06-12 01:52:34	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x15cd3d…
06-12 01:33:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x06bd0d…
06-12 01:32:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x2bc242…
06-11 20:43:55	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xf2b97d…
06-11 20:08:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcf540b…
06-11 20:07:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x768987…
06-11 20:07:42	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x44bbda…
06-11 20:07:30	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfdd924…
06-11 20:06:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa7f45e…
06-11 20:04:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf1f157…
06-11 20:04:57	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xcf6e5b…
06-11 19:55:00	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd909ee…
06-11 19:35:24	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	42	75¢	$31	0x726720…
06-11 19:23:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	58	75¢	$44	0x5f43ea…
06-11 19:05:03	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	64	66¢	$42	0xdad3a7…
06-11 17:34:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x871cda…
06-11 17:32:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x8b25e3…
06-11 17:30:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x34cdba…
06-11 08:14:06	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xdfab54…
06-11 07:41:58	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xda12ec…
06-11 07:41:39	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	791	80¢	$632	0xe84445…
06-11 07:41:39	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x54ca8b…
06-10 22:21:54	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2d7c76…
06-10 09:49:58	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x068a7f…
06-10 09:14:03	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8360cd…
06-09 16:15:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x07c3c9…
06-09 13:51:15	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	131	68¢	$89	0xdb546e…
06-09 11:48:33	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xdff62f…
06-09 11:14:12	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	98	66¢	$65	0xfc2c5c…
06-07 08:06:57	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	869	68¢	$591	0xa290e1…
06-07 04:25:15	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	183	77¢	$141	0x70d12c…
06-07 04:25:03	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	136	76¢	$103	0x211ed5…
06-06 00:34:03	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x5e550c…
06-05 12:53:12	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x08f2c9…
06-05 07:40:24	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	460	99¢	$457	0xf22e2f…
06-03 08:53:04	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	224	67¢	$150	0x8c9724…
06-03 08:51:35	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbcb876…
06-03 08:51:26	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x12ea7e…
06-03 08:10:20	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3f570f…
06-03 08:08:25	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	240	67¢	$161	0x87bbf9…
06-03 03:27:16	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xcc5e15…
06-03 03:27:16	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xaafe72…
06-03 03:27:16	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	182	82¢	$149	0x98583b…
06-03 03:27:16	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x13753f…