Realized P&L
-$11.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.01K
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
625
Trades
4,405
lifetime
Volume
$485.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$3.05K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-26 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
57% 74% +$1,601
Politics
41% 67% -$11,224
Sports
1% 75% -$145
Crypto
0% 67% -$1,705
Tech
0% 100% +$201
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,497 $2,165 72¢ $1.8K -$380 10-25 13:44
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +614 $378 82¢ $501 +$123 09-20 16:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +452 $378 94¢ $424 +$46 10-19 16:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -179 -$159 96¢ $-172 -$13 08-03 21:32
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 09-24 02:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $36 76¢ $38 +$1 10-22 16:37
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +931 $830 4¢ $34 -$797 10-26 23:18
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-15 06:42
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $7 98¢ $10 +$3 09-28 01:29
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +10 $7 91¢ $9 +$2 10-11 22:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 09-21 20:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10 $8 72¢ $7 -$1 08-16 23:33