Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$900
Trades
69
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$855
Latest YES mid
65¢
Latest NO mid
35¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-02 17:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-21.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 22% YES on $285)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $53 | $48 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $29 | $57 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $20 | $51 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $8 | $61 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $65 | $65 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| Below median | 5 | $25 | $5 | +$20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $15 | $96 | $82 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $32 | $32 |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | $19 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +132 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-20 12:35 |
| easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | No | +100 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-02 14:24 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +34 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-26 14:44 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +33 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-02 17:46 |
| Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 18:36 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 13:44 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +5 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 06-21 09:12 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 14:24 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +3 | $8 | $31 | 3 | 07-02 17:46 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +2 | $2 | $7 | 2 | 06-21 09:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 17:46:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 33 | 36¢ | $12 | 0xed7175… |
| 07-02 17:46:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 33 | 36¢ | $12 | 0xed7175… |
| 07-02 14:24:05 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 151 | 45¢ | $68 | 0x7ad1dd… |
| 07-02 14:24:05 | easierthanmanifold 0xe151…a852 | No | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x7ad1dd… |
| 07-02 14:24:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 47 | 46¢ | $22 | 0x7ad1dd… |
| 07-02 14:24:05 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x7ad1dd… |
| 07-02 13:44:53 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x04e67f… |
| 07-02 13:44:53 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x04e67f… |
| 06-26 22:57:20 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x00b241… |
| 06-26 22:57:20 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 18 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x00b241… |
| 06-26 22:57:20 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 40¢ | $11 | 0x00b241… |
| 06-26 22:55:49 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 59 | 60¢ | $35 | 0x91466b… |
| 06-26 22:55:49 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 40¢ | $24 | 0x91466b… |
| 06-26 14:44:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xbb98c6… |
| 06-26 14:44:19 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xbb98c6… |
| 06-26 07:02:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x933b44… |
| 06-26 07:02:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x933b44… |
| 06-26 06:06:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x122bf7… |
| 06-26 06:06:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x122bf7… |
| 06-26 06:01:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x36f4b9… |
| 06-26 06:01:14 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x36f4b9… |
| 06-26 03:16:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 43 | 55¢ | $24 | 0x4977c6… |
| 06-26 03:16:38 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x4977c6… |
| 06-25 20:42:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x7c6343… |
| 06-25 20:42:37 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x7c6343… |
| 06-21 09:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x65ad44… |
| 06-21 09:23:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x65ad44… |
| 06-21 09:12:11 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x94c344… |
| 06-21 09:12:11 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x94c344… |
| 06-21 07:48:17 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xce87b4… |
| 06-21 07:48:17 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xce87b4… |
| 06-21 07:48:16 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 43¢ | $44 | 0x02306a… |
| 06-21 07:48:16 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | SELL | 102 | 57¢ | $58 | 0x02306a… |
| 06-20 19:36:49 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x39c4e6… |
| 06-20 19:36:49 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | SELL | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x39c4e6… |
| 06-20 19:36:47 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x00c2a8… |
| 06-20 19:36:47 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x00c2a8… |
| 06-20 12:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x567dc9… |
| 06-20 12:35:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x567dc9… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 132 | 30¢ | $40 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 309 | 35¢ | $107 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-20 12:35:43 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | BUY | 108 | 29¢ | $31 | 0x08d4f4… |
| 06-18 00:15:29 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe3d920… |
| 06-18 00:15:29 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x486179… |
| 06-18 00:15:29 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe3d920… |
| 06-18 00:15:29 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x486179… |
| 06-05 18:36:57 | Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x5adfef… |
| 06-05 18:36:57 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x5adfef… |
| 06-02 05:58:20 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x7476e6… |
| 06-02 05:58:20 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x7476e6… |
| 06-02 05:58:20 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x7476e6… |
| 06-02 05:37:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x32b441… |
| 06-02 05:37:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x32b441… |
| 06-01 23:37:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x95f478… |
| 06-01 23:37:08 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 24¢ | $9 | 0x95f478… |
| 06-01 23:37:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x95f478… |
| 06-01 23:36:47 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 49¢ | $37 | 0xb724e6… |
| 06-01 23:36:47 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 40 | 51¢ | $20 | 0xb724e6… |
| 06-01 23:36:47 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xb724e6… |
| 06-01 23:36:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xb724e6… |
| 05-31 17:49:50 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xbfc769… |
| 05-31 17:49:50 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xbfc769… |
| 05-31 17:49:39 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x751358… |
| 05-31 17:49:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x751358… |
| 05-31 17:49:39 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x751358… |