(anonymous) 0xca08d6…26c267
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$405
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
92
Trades
6,664
lifetime
Volume
$70.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$315
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-21 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
70% 60% +$426
Politics
20% 0% $-2
Crypto
5% 41% $-18
Sports
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +118 $110 90¢ $105 $-5 07-18 17:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -79 $-40 50¢ $-40 +$0 05-29 22:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +39 $26 66¢ $26 $-0 07-19 23:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +23 $21 78¢ $18 $-2 07-18 00:25
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +40 $18 44¢ $18 $-1 07-14 12:31
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -21 $-15 76¢ $-16 $-1 06-04 01:39
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -18 $-13 69¢ $-12 +$1 06-04 01:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +28 $15 38¢ $10 $-5 06-24 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $-18 99¢ $10 +$28 07-10 21:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +41 $11 22¢ $9 $-3 07-20 17:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +36 $6 24¢ $8 +$3 07-19 08:51
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-7 55¢ $-8 $-0 06-04 01:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -149 $-8 4¢ $-5 +$2 06-04 01:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $4 65¢ $4 +$0 07-20 06:56
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -9 $-4 44¢ $-4 +$0 06-04 01:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -21 $-6 18¢ $-4 +$2 06-04 01:40
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 07-14 12:39
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +4 $3 71¢ $3 +$1 07-08 16:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +6 $4 48¢ $3 $-1 07-15 16:08
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -12 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 06-04 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +189 $9 1¢ $3 $-6 07-17 15:51
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-2 68¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3 $10 56¢ $1 $-9 07-20 19:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -4 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 01:42