Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$649

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

424

Trades

2,268

lifetime

Volume

$52.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$2.20K

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-04 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

51% 85% -$343

Politics

43% 84% -$201

Sports

3% 33% -$128

Tech

3% 94% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+1,000	$569	62¢	$615	+$46	08-01 17:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+699	$558	82¢	$571	+$13	10-04 01:36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-500	-$415	92¢	$-462	-$48	09-03 02:42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$429	38¢	$385	-$44	08-07 06:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+699	$143	18¢	$128	-$15	08-02 04:02
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-500	-$90	8¢	$-38	+$52	09-03 14:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	No	+0	-$9	98¢	$0	+$9	10-01 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	10	$1.2K	710	490	+220	Yes	-$98	07-01 22:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$998	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	08-07 06:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	93	$701	1,398	0	+1,398	open	—	10-04 01:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$691	425	425	+0	open	—	10-04 01:25
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?	6	$512	399	399	+0	open	—	10-04 01:24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	28	$510	272	272	+0	open	—	10-04 01:25
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	5	$505	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	09-03 14:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	24	$500	571	0	+571	Yes	+$71	07-08 03:06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$464	249	249	+0	open	—	10-04 01:25
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	3	$399	403	0	+403	No	+$4	08-10 20:31
Will Alex Karp attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	4	$380	194	194	+0	No	+$3	10-04 01:25
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	12	$305	337	0	+337	Yes	+$32	08-01 13:55
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	2	$304	160	160	+0	open	—	09-17 23:36
will gavin solomon advance from the ak al primary election	9	$300	327	0	+327	No	+$27	08-19 02:49
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	11	$297	201	200	+1	Yes	-$28	08-08 05:19
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?	2	$290	154	154	+0	open	—	10-04 01:26
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	3	$290	332	0	+332	No	+$42	07-24 16:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	6	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	10-04 01:26
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	7	$273	153	153	+0	No	+$32	10-04 01:25
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	6	$251	134	134	+0	No	+$11	10-04 01:26
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	3	$240	244	0	+244	Yes	+$4	08-31 11:05
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	12	$237	132	132	+0	Yes	$0	07-09 23:13
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	5	$232	136	136	+0	open	—	10-04 01:28
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	5	$230	125	125	+0	open	—	10-04 01:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	5	$223	252	0	+252	No	+$29	09-23 22:57
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	4	$217	123	123	+0	open	—	10-04 01:28
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?	6	$209	219	0	+219	Yes	+$9	09-28 02:18
will marco rubio attend nato summit	16	$207	211	0	+211	Yes	+$4	07-07 13:01
meta close above 550 on july 2 2026	4	$202	101	101	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 19:30
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	3	$202	108	108	+0	open	—	10-04 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 01:36:37	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xde34ff…
10-04 01:36:35	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9f5724…
10-04 01:36:35	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x93f348…
10-04 01:36:34	Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc5d631…
10-04 01:36:34	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xae913f…
10-04 01:36:32	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x74e398…
10-04 01:36:32	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x4ee5b9…
10-04 01:36:32	Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x23972e…
10-04 01:36:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xb8e421…
10-04 01:36:31	Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x2ab603…
10-04 01:36:29	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0xf26395…
10-04 01:36:29	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbd48a5…
10-04 01:36:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xc2c389…
10-04 01:36:28	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xb67a33…
10-04 01:36:28	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x935638…
10-04 01:36:26	Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x4fd014…
10-04 01:36:26	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x39d935…
10-04 01:36:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x86a91a…
10-04 01:36:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x78f54b…
10-04 01:36:25	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x64e432…
10-04 01:36:23	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x6af177…
10-04 01:36:23	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x1e43d2…
10-04 01:36:22	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xdb369e…
10-04 01:36:22	Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x96af95…
10-04 01:36:20	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6c2b9f…
10-04 01:36:20	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x03f0f3…
10-04 01:36:19	Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xca70df…
10-04 01:36:19	Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x24bd02…
10-04 01:36:19	Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x129386…
10-04 01:36:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xb3e49b…
10-04 01:36:17	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x8e1517…
10-04 01:36:17	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x187b4c…
10-04 01:36:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xe7e588…
10-04 01:36:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x59ff99…
10-04 01:36:14	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x8dfbb9…
10-04 01:36:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0xb0a47b…
10-04 01:36:13	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x7b614b…
10-04 01:36:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xe6282a…
10-04 01:36:11	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x67dbbb…
10-04 01:36:07	Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xb0a108…
10-04 01:36:05	Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0xbed5be…
10-04 01:36:05	Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x6a2380…
10-04 01:36:05	Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x075405…
10-04 01:36:04	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x97779f…
10-04 01:36:02	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x25f4b6…
10-04 01:36:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0xe56b02…
10-04 01:36:01	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xa710ed…
10-04 01:36:01	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xa20d29…
10-04 01:35:59	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xa0a1de…
10-04 01:35:59	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x0d587e…
10-04 01:35:58	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xc852df…
10-04 01:35:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x16974c…
10-04 01:35:56	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xb347a2…
10-04 01:35:56	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x8d8720…
10-04 01:35:56	Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x579e67…
10-04 01:35:56	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x0ac37d…
10-04 01:35:55	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x297cd7…
10-04 01:35:55	Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x2578cb…
10-04 01:35:53	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x1210a1…
10-04 01:35:52	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x56147c…
10-04 01:35:52	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0x32f023…
10-04 01:35:50	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x9c11da…
10-04 01:35:50	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x8bca34…
10-04 01:35:49	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xa34a5c…
10-04 01:35:49	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x89fd4a…
10-04 01:35:49	Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x4bb652…
10-04 01:35:47	Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	33	92¢	$31	0xf3df17…
10-04 01:35:47	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xec1fcf…
10-04 01:35:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0x382d80…
10-04 01:35:46	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xea1a69…
10-04 01:35:46	Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x512cb0…
10-04 01:35:46	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	SELL	33	83¢	$27	0x3818a2…
10-04 01:35:44	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xe58d86…
10-04 01:35:44	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xe01bc8…
10-04 01:35:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xd61f8f…
10-04 01:35:43	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x969a16…
10-04 01:35:43	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x14bfbc…
10-04 01:35:41	DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xa4ee6e…
10-04 01:35:41	Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x8cf4f6…
10-04 01:35:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xeb883f…
10-04 01:35:40	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0xa9e1db…
10-04 01:35:40	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	35	84¢	$29	0x80f6ef…
10-04 01:35:38	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x6b884b…
10-04 01:35:38	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x40de65…
10-04 01:35:37	Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0xb1ebea…
10-04 01:35:37	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x65bcb6…
10-04 01:35:35	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0xc18945…
10-04 01:35:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0xb806dc…
10-04 01:35:35	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x52190b…
10-04 01:35:34	Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0xb1372a…
10-04 01:35:34	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x5fed62…
10-04 01:35:34	Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	37	88¢	$33	0x04611b…
10-04 01:35:32	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x8b1c7a…
10-04 01:35:29	Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0xec1b21…
10-04 01:35:29	Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x7be9fa…
10-04 01:35:28	Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xdfac0d…
10-04 01:35:28	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xa4380a…
10-04 01:35:28	Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x4a8b80…
10-04 01:35:26	Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xc0e666…
10-04 01:35:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xb7f3d2…