(anonymous) 0x024e23…4c8fa1
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$8.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$546
22 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 07-22 16:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54% — —
Other
34% — —
Tech
9% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +177 $150 72¢ $127 $-23 07-08 13:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +97 $85 92¢ $89 +$3 07-03 04:56
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +48 $44 96¢ $46 +$2 07-17 21:31
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +38 $37 98¢ $37 +$0 07-18 21:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +32 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 07-10 21:41
US recession by end of 2026? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 +$0 07-18 05:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +23 $19 86¢ $20 +$1 07-19 20:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +21 $19 93¢ $20 +$0 07-10 05:39
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +19 $16 93¢ $18 +$2 07-10 11:29
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +19 $17 90¢ $17 +$0 07-13 02:41
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +18 $14 91¢ $16 +$2 07-04 03:32
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +17 $15 91¢ $15 +$0 07-05 13:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$1 07-20 16:19
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +12 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 07-06 09:17
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 07-09 02:37
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 07-05 03:07
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-01 20:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +12 $8 66¢ $8 +$0 07-08 14:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 07-14 09:46
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $-0 07-08 16:23
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +7 $6 83¢ $6 +$0 07-10 22:46
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 07-06 05:11