Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$674
Trades
41
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$9,380
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-09 10:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6
vs crowd: 3% YES on $614)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $5 | $41 | $36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $12 | $513 | $500 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $13 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $2 | $28 | $26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $496 | $490 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $11 | $35 | $24 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 5 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | +513 | $496 | $496 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +183 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +167 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 06-01 19:47 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 6 | 06-09 10:19 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-31 17:53 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 17:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc54…13bf | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:06 |
| Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 02:27 |
| Wealthy-Appetite 0x8c46…7eab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x23fa…cc79 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 10:19:18 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x3be57a… |
| 06-09 10:19:18 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x3be57a… |
| 06-09 01:30:01 | Sorrowful-Proximal 0x1f7c…de22 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x7fd3f5… |
| 06-09 01:30:01 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x7fd3f5… |
| 06-06 17:13:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca0c76… |
| 06-06 17:13:24 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca0c76… |
| 06-06 17:13:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe7bddf… |
| 06-06 17:13:22 | Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe7bddf… |
| 06-04 02:17:49 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7a446d… |
| 06-04 02:17:49 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7a446d… |
| 06-03 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xf47305… |
| 06-03 00:11:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xf47305… |
| 06-02 10:10:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x09c53a… |
| 06-02 10:10:48 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x09c53a… |
| 06-02 02:39:04 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaae353… |
| 06-02 02:39:04 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaae353… |
| 06-02 02:27:30 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x427a5c… |
| 06-02 02:27:30 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x427a5c… |
| 06-01 19:47:56 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xdef3ce… |
| 06-01 19:47:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdef3ce… |
| 06-01 18:54:02 | Wealthy-Appetite 0x8c46…7eab | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x220dca… |
| 06-01 18:54:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x220dca… |
| 06-01 18:53:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa6d25a… |
| 06-01 18:53:26 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa6d25a… |
| 06-01 18:52:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x98ea82… |
| 06-01 18:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x98ea82… |
| 06-01 18:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x23fa…cc79 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xec58eb… |
| 06-01 18:50:52 | Sorrowful-Proximal 0x1f7c…de22 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x44c0a4… |
| 06-01 18:50:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x44c0a4… |
| 06-01 18:50:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xec58eb… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 167 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc08a92… |
| 06-01 18:50:50 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | BUY | 513 | 97¢ | $496 | 0xc08a92… |
| 05-31 17:53:46 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xb07c1e… |
| 05-31 17:53:46 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xb07c1e… |
| 05-30 08:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xdc54…13bf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdda393… |
| 05-30 08:06:27 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0xdda393… |