Realized P&L
-$258
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
9.5%
Resolved
160
Trades
2,625
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 10-28 02:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
74% 45% -$204
Other
26% 34% -$55
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +11 $8 95¢ $11 +$3 08-23 20:57
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17 $6 18¢ $3 -$3 08-23 20:57
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$0 08-19 08:06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 08-31 13:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $3 55¢ $2 -$1 09-07 10:08
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +2 $0 88¢ $1 +$2 08-31 13:41
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 08-31 13:41
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +1 $14 88¢ $1 -$13 08-31 13:42
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-30 20:50
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-30 20:49
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-29 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 09-23 01:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-29 22:09
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-18 22:14
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $38 4¢ $1 -$37 08-23 19:15
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-22 05:36
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-14 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2 $0 38¢ $1 +$0 08-31 13:41
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 08-31 13:42
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 30¢ $1 $0 08-31 13:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1 $1 55¢ $1 $0 07-30 20:53
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +1 $1 56¢ $1 $0 08-31 13:42
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1 $1 54¢ $1 $0 07-29 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $0 42¢ $1 +$0 07-30 16:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 09-21 09:28
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +1 $4 56¢ $0 -$3 08-31 13:42
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes +5 $9 6¢ $0 -$9 08-23 20:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1 $0 28¢ $0 $0 08-31 13:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +1 $0 21¢ $0 +$0 08-31 13:42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $1 66¢ $0 $0 05-30 23:51