Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$240
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
200
Trades
1,759
lifetime
Volume
$67.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$3.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 10-27 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
68% 45% -$548
Politics
22% 50% -$143
Sports
7% 32% -$1,293
Tech
4% 67% +$277
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +690 $71 99¢ $686 +$615 07-10 21:36
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +770 $541 66¢ $508 -$33 09-27 14:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +800 $484 44¢ $356 -$128 06-11 09:21
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +560 $377 58¢ $325 -$52 07-12 05:12
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +292 $274 96¢ $281 +$7 10-26 21:02
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +432 $300 60¢ $257 -$43 08-14 07:31
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +225 -$65 79¢ $177 +$242 10-23 00:02
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +187 $149 83¢ $156 +$7 10-23 00:33
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +406 $146 36¢ $144 -$2 10-26 18:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +670 $161 20¢ $137 -$23 09-22 08:52
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? Yes +98 $85 97¢ $95 +$10 10-27 00:01
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +396 $95 20¢ $81 -$14 09-22 08:52
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +431 $183 16¢ $69 -$114 08-07 00:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +800 $88 8¢ $68 -$20 08-29 16:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +800 $88 8¢ $68 -$20 08-30 09:45
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No — +100 $52 55¢ $55 +$3 07-24 15:32
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +64 $50 64¢ $41 -$10 08-14 08:53
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +51 $44 79¢ $40 -$4 08-14 11:09
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +40 $16 98¢ $39 +$23 06-15 06:39
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 07-24 14:45
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +54 $37 66¢ $36 -$2 10-16 11:46
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +41 $27 76¢ $31 +$5 08-09 15:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +37 $25 64¢ $23 -$2 10-25 10:13
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +43 $24 55¢ $23 $0 08-05 21:45
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +478 $14 4¢ $21 +$6 10-27 12:49
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +57 -$12 29¢ $17 +$28 10-25 12:10
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +798 $7 2¢ $14 +$7 10-21 01:39
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $150 1¢ $7 -$143 06-24 18:32
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +354 $115 2¢ $6 -$109 06-25 09:20
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +19 $1 21¢ $4 +$3 09-21 21:56