Realized P&L
+$372
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
12,797
Trades
48,350
lifetime
Volume
$4.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$18
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-26 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
65% 21% +$282
Politics
19% 28% +$102
Crypto
12% 13% -$25
Tech
2% 30% +$20
Pop-Culture
1% 12% -$5
Sports
0% 9% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +79 -$1 4¢ $3 +$4 10-13 16:54
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +120 -$1 2¢ $2 +$3 10-18 05:42
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $2 +$2 10-10 13:31
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? Yes +800 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-26 01:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? Yes +800 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 06:05
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-26 11:30
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 10-25 11:56
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes +115 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:27
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +40 -$2 2¢ $1 +$3 10-15 11:27
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +60 -$4 1¢ $1 +$5 10-20 01:06
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? Yes +460 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 20:02
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +40 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-17 21:52
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +34 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-17 21:53
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +65 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-16 07:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +25 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-02 07:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 10-01 13:25
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-25 17:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-29 11:50
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-02 19:38
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +26 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 22:15
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-28 18:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 13:53
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +15 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-11 21:46
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +14 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-29 08:31
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +10 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-02 21:24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-03 18:46
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-29 08:31
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-21 10:02
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +0 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 10-25 12:06