Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,756
Trades
78
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$9,806
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-22 04:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $23 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $101 | $328 | $227 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $13 | — | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $17 | $27 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $72 | $71 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $92 | $328 | $235 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $23 | $13 | +$10 |
| unranked | 8 | $13 | — | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | +1,327 | $1,206 | $1,344 | 4 | 07-15 14:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +293 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-07 17:47 |
| Ill-Informed-Undertaker 0x85e7…5e49 | Yes | +275 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-13 15:00 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +270 | $248 | $275 | 3 | 06-24 00:54 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +270 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa609…eebd | Yes | +182 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 10:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 06-15 05:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 19:16 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ff1…e6e2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 05:27 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 00:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 00:54 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-26 19:13 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +6 | $7 | $24 | 6 | 07-13 15:00 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 04:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1b9f2f… |
| 07-22 04:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b9f2f… |
| 07-15 14:44:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x135643… |
| 07-15 14:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x135643… |
| 07-15 14:44:25 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x135643… |
| 07-15 14:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x135643… |
| 07-15 14:44:25 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | SELL | 71 | 97¢ | $69 | 0x135643… |
| 07-13 15:00:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xad7265… |
| 07-13 15:00:50 | Ill-Informed-Undertaker 0x85e7…5e49 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xad7265… |
| 07-13 15:00:50 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xad7265… |
| 07-12 11:18:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7531a2… |
| 07-12 11:18:20 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7531a2… |
| 07-09 10:47:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 182 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x9c8c8d… |
| 07-09 10:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xa609…eebd | Yes | BUY | 182 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x9c8c8d… |
| 07-07 17:47:58 | Fatal-Soup 0x3151…c3f1 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5c9c7c… |
| 07-07 17:47:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5c9c7c… |
| 07-05 15:41:08 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x66b466… |
| 07-05 15:41:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x66b466… |
| 07-05 15:41:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x66b466… |
| 07-05 15:40:55 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xa90c5a… |
| 07-05 15:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xa90c5a… |
| 07-05 15:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa90c5a… |
| 07-04 02:57:23 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd1351a… |
| 07-04 02:57:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xd1351a… |
| 07-04 02:57:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xd1351a… |
| 07-02 06:05:49 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6eaa59… |
| 07-02 06:05:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x6eaa59… |
| 06-26 19:13:23 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xeba917… |
| 06-26 19:13:23 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xeba917… |
| 06-26 19:13:23 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xeba917… |
| 06-25 19:19:19 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x650949… |
| 06-25 19:19:19 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x650949… |
| 06-24 00:54:04 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x2b3139… |
| 06-24 00:54:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x2b3139… |
| 06-24 00:52:43 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x639abf… |
| 06-24 00:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x639abf… |
| 06-17 19:16:37 | Unhappy-Populist 0x7dbd…97e6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1b3939… |
| 06-17 19:16:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1b3939… |
| 06-15 05:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x4ff1…e6e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x67c47d… |
| 06-15 05:27:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x67c47d… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 120 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Ill-Informed-Undertaker 0x85e7…5e49 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-09 09:24:18 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa14eff… |
| 06-09 09:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x8172…9da2 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa14eff… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x497d…944c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-01 15:54:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3ecb52… |
| 06-01 15:54:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 52 | 92¢ | $48 | 0x3ecb52… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x621333… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x0492f1… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x6d5b92… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x621333… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x6d5b92… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x0492f1… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:20 | Hoarse-Custody 0x860d…3c72 | No | SELL | 165 | 93¢ | $154 | 0x9d8e1d… |
| 05-31 23:11:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x9d8e1d… |
| 05-31 23:11:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 05-31 23:11:18 | Ugly-Wren 0x2211…f15b | No | SELL | 36 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 270 | 92¢ | $248 | 0xfdddb8… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Ugly-Wren 0x2211…f15b | No | SELL | 270 | 92¢ | $248 | 0xfdddb8… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 268 | 9¢ | $24 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | SELL | 153 | 91¢ | $139 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 1,204 | 91¢ | $1,096 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 9¢ | $24 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-29 21:29:06 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 88 | 90¢ | $80 | 0x8e7fa4… |
| 05-29 21:29:06 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 88 | 90¢ | $80 | 0x8e7fa4… |