Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,447
Trades
40
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$9,806
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-15 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $18 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $90 | $314 | $224 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $15 | $27 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $55 | $55 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $86 | $314 | $228 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | +1,293 | $1,176 | $1,176 | 2 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +270 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +270 | $248 | $248 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Ill-Informed-Undertaker 0x85e7…5e49 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 14:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +200 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 06-15 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +53 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +36 | $8 | $20 | 4 | 06-13 14:13 |
| Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 09:24 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-31 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ff1…e6e2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 05:27 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $9 | 3 | 06-04 01:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 05:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x4ff1…e6e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x67c47d… |
| 06-15 05:27:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x67c47d… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 120 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-13 14:13:06 | Ill-Informed-Undertaker 0x85e7…5e49 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xd4068f… |
| 06-09 09:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x8172…9da2 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa14eff… |
| 06-09 09:24:18 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa14eff… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x497d…944c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-04 01:46:33 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa89289… |
| 06-01 15:54:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 52 | 92¢ | $48 | 0x3ecb52… |
| 06-01 15:54:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3ecb52… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x0492f1… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x6d5b92… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x6d5b92… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x621333… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x621333… |
| 05-31 23:11:27 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x0492f1… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x1a838a… |
| 05-31 23:11:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x9d8e1d… |
| 05-31 23:11:20 | Hoarse-Custody 0x860d…3c72 | No | SELL | 165 | 93¢ | $154 | 0x9d8e1d… |
| 05-31 23:11:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 05-31 23:11:18 | Ugly-Wren 0x2211…f15b | No | SELL | 36 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 1,204 | 91¢ | $1,096 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 270 | 92¢ | $248 | 0xfdddb8… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 9¢ | $24 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Ugly-Wren 0x2211…f15b | No | SELL | 270 | 92¢ | $248 | 0xfdddb8… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 268 | 9¢ | $24 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | SELL | 153 | 91¢ | $139 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-31 23:11:15 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x7a6b78… |
| 05-29 21:29:06 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 88 | 90¢ | $80 | 0x8e7fa4… |
| 05-29 21:29:06 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 88 | 90¢ | $80 | 0x8e7fa4… |