Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
13,014
lifetime
Volume
$39.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$120
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-12 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
50% 55% $-1
Politics
27% 20% +$16
Sports
20% 100% +$16
Crypto
1% 0% $-51
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -33 $-28 86¢ $-28 $-0 05-30 19:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 86¢ $-16 $-5 06-11 20:13
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -50 $-17 32¢ $-16 +$1 06-25 19:18
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -64 $-16 24¢ $-15 +$1 06-25 19:18
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-12 90¢ $-14 $-2 06-25 19:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 $-9 30¢ $-7 +$2 06-23 05:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -13 $-5 42¢ $-6 $-0 06-25 19:18
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -45 $-4 12¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 17:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -13 $-3 34¢ $-4 $-2 06-27 20:31
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -4 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-25 19:18
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -13 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 19:19
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 19:20
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $1 35¢ $1 $-0 07-09 22:10
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -3 $-1 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 19:19
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 18¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 19:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -13 $-13 $-0 +$13 06-27 20:31
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-25 19:19