Solid-Porcelain 0xe0dbdb…8df44e
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$52.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.8K
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
2,890
Trades
31,039
lifetime
Volume
$7.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$157.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Other
55% 54% +$82,124
Sports
37% 49% -$32,776
Politics
8% 61% +$3,246
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $27,600 92¢ $27.4K -$150 10-02 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,794 $13,268 82¢ $17.8K +$4,494 10-12 17:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +15,000 $13,800 92¢ $13.9K +$75 10-02 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,000 $8,100 92¢ $9.1K +$1,050 10-25 21:49
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +8,488 $2,358 98¢ $8.3K +$5,961 10-23 20:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10,000 -$7,670 82¢ $-8170 -$500 10-11 15:03
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +28,647 $2,585 29¢ $8.2K +$5,579 10-17 04:51
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -7,668 -$6,546 97¢ $-7473 -$927 10-20 13:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,477 $3,784 66¢ $5.6K +$1,853 08-22 07:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +6,875 $5,120 68¢ $4.7K -$410 10-10 14:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +8,000 $4,044 54¢ $4.4K +$308 10-06 04:20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +4,317 $3,728 94¢ $4.0K +$309 10-22 03:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,999 $3,749 72¢ $3.6K -$124 10-26 03:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,109 $2,413 68¢ $3.5K +$1,087 10-22 19:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $2,900 68¢ $3.4K +$525 08-16 22:47
No one announced as next James Bond? No +4,537 $3,950 75¢ $3.4K -$543 09-05 21:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,999 $2,770 74¢ $3.0K +$209 10-13 03:15
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,700 92¢ $2.8K +$60 09-24 02:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,000 $2,304 89¢ $2.7K +$357 10-10 16:15
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +2,235 $1,890 94¢ $2.1K +$217 10-19 15:15
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $1,300 2¢ $2.0K +$700 10-09 02:23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40,000 $1,960 5¢ $2.0K +$40 06-18 17:46
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -1,791 -$1,547 90¢ $-1603 -$56 09-05 18:25
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +15,736 $1,588 10¢ $1.5K -$93 10-07 16:24
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +7,000 $1,330 20¢ $1.4K +$35 09-02 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,184 66¢ $-1330 -$146 09-02 10:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +32,689 $5,178 4¢ $1.2K -$3,969 09-16 15:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,348 $4,493 86¢ $1.2K -$3,340 10-23 17:19
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +879 $754 97¢ $856 +$102 05-31 10:54
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +714 $593 99¢ $710 +$117 10-13 22:39