Solid-Porcelain 0xe0dbdb…8df44e
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$63.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.03K
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
2,925
Trades
31,252
lifetime
Volume
$7.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$242
Open exposure
$159.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 02:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Other
54% 55% +$86,642
Sports
37% 50% -$32,666
Politics
9% 62% +$9,377
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $27,600 94¢ $28.3K +$750 10-02 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,794 $13,268 84¢ $18.2K +$4,930 10-12 17:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +15,000 $13,800 96¢ $14.3K +$525 10-02 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,000 $8,100 99¢ $9.9K +$1,800 10-25 21:49
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,020 $9,219 92¢ $9.3K +$50 10-30 15:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10,000 -$7,670 84¢ $-8410 -$740 10-11 15:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -7,668 -$6,546 98¢ $-7527 -$981 10-20 13:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +6,483 $5,786 97¢ $6.3K +$480 10-31 14:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,477 $3,784 72¢ $6.1K +$2,362 08-22 07:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +6,875 $5,120 72¢ $5.0K -$135 10-10 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $2,900 80¢ $4.0K +$1,125 08-16 22:47
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +4,317 $3,728 93¢ $4.0K +$270 10-22 03:41
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +4,993 $3,944 78¢ $3.9K -$50 10-27 19:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,109 $2,413 74¢ $3.8K +$1,342 10-22 19:15
No one announced as next James Bond? No +4,537 $3,950 83¢ $3.8K -$196 09-05 21:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +8,000 $4,044 44¢ $3.5K -$540 10-06 04:20
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +3,797 $3,074 80¢ $3.1K -$17 10-31 07:08
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,700 90¢ $2.7K +$15 09-24 02:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,000 $2,304 89¢ $2.7K +$360 10-10 16:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,178 $2,474 78¢ $2.5K +$5 10-27 19:10
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40,000 $1,960 5¢ $2.0K +$60 06-18 17:46
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $1,300 2¢ $1.9K +$650 10-09 02:23
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -1,791 -$1,547 88¢ $-1585 -$38 09-05 18:25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,184 72¢ $-1430 -$246 09-02 10:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,348 $4,493 86¢ $1.2K -$3,327 10-23 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +7,000 $1,330 16¢ $1.1K -$245 09-02 11:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +32,689 $5,178 3¢ $1.0K -$4,149 09-16 15:01
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +879 $754 97¢ $856 +$102 05-31 10:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,030 $793 63¢ $649 -$144 10-29 22:58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $628 3¢ $637 +$10 10-25 09:26