Solid-Porcelain 0xe0dbdb…8df44e
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$62.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.3K
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
2,902
Trades
31,175
lifetime
Volume
$7.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$159.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 04:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Other
54% 54% +$89,202
Sports
37% 50% -$29,785
Politics
9% 61% +$3,246
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $27,600 92¢ $27.7K +$150 10-02 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,794 $13,268 82¢ $18.0K +$4,712 10-12 17:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +15,000 $13,800 94¢ $14.0K +$225 10-02 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,000 $8,100 96¢ $9.6K +$1,550 10-25 21:49
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +28,647 $2,585 31¢ $8.9K +$6,295 10-17 04:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +8,488 $2,358 99¢ $8.4K +$6,062 10-23 20:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10,000 -$7,670 81¢ $-8135 -$465 10-11 15:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -7,668 -$6,546 98¢ $-7481 -$935 10-20 13:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,477 $3,784 68¢ $5.7K +$1,938 08-22 07:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +6,875 $5,120 74¢ $5.1K -$32 10-10 14:54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +4,317 $3,728 92¢ $4.0K +$265 10-22 03:41
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +4,993 $3,944 80¢ $4.0K +$25 10-27 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $2,900 72¢ $3.6K +$725 08-16 22:47
No one announced as next James Bond? No +4,537 $3,950 79¢ $3.6K -$366 09-05 21:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,109 $2,413 69¢ $3.5K +$1,112 10-22 19:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +8,000 $4,044 43¢ $3.4K -$620 10-06 04:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,999 $2,770 70¢ $2.8K +$49 10-13 03:15
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,700 90¢ $2.7K +$15 09-24 02:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,000 $2,304 89¢ $2.7K +$364 10-10 16:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,178 $2,474 80¢ $2.5K +$53 10-27 19:10
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +2,235 $1,890 94¢ $2.1K +$205 10-19 15:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40,000 $1,960 5¢ $2.1K +$100 06-18 17:46
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $1,300 2¢ $1.9K +$650 10-09 02:23
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -1,791 -$1,547 89¢ $-1594 -$47 09-05 18:25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,184 68¢ $-1350 -$166 09-02 10:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,348 $4,493 84¢ $1.1K -$3,354 10-23 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +7,000 $1,330 15¢ $1.0K -$280 09-02 11:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +32,689 $5,178 3¢ $1.0K -$4,132 09-16 15:01
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +879 $754 98¢ $858 +$104 05-31 10:54
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +714 $593 100¢ $712 +$119 10-13 22:39