Solid-Porcelain 0xe0dbdb…8df44e
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$4.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.9K
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved (90d)
414
Trades (90d)
5,297
31,044 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.48M
$7.42M lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$162.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
54% 54% +$82,124
Sports
37% 49% -$31,986
Politics
8% 61% +$3,246
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $27,600 92¢ $27.7K +$150 10-02 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,794 $13,268 80¢ $17.3K +$4,058 10-12 17:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +15,000 $13,800 92¢ $13.9K +$75 10-02 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,000 $8,100 96¢ $9.5K +$1,450 10-25 21:49
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +28,647 $2,585 30¢ $8.6K +$6,009 10-17 04:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +8,488 $2,358 98¢ $8.4K +$6,003 10-23 20:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10,000 -$7,670 78¢ $-7820 -$150 10-11 15:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -7,668 -$6,546 97¢ $-7458 -$912 10-20 13:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,477 $3,784 66¢ $5.6K +$1,853 08-22 07:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +6,875 $5,120 72¢ $4.9K -$204 10-10 14:54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +4,317 $3,728 94¢ $4.0K +$309 10-22 03:41
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +4,993 $3,944 80¢ $4.0K +$25 10-27 19:39
No one announced as next James Bond? No +4,537 $3,950 78¢ $3.5K -$420 09-05 21:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +8,000 $4,044 43¢ $3.5K -$568 10-06 04:20
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $2,900 70¢ $3.5K +$575 08-16 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,109 $2,413 68¢ $3.4K +$1,036 10-22 19:15
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,999 $2,770 74¢ $2.9K +$169 10-13 03:15
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Nuggets — +4,688 $3,000 62¢ $2.9K -$70 10-28 13:59
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,700 90¢ $2.7K +$15 09-24 02:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,000 $2,304 88¢ $2.6K +$334 10-10 16:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,178 $2,474 80¢ $2.5K +$69 10-27 19:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,400 72¢ $2.2K -$225 10-28 01:55
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +2,235 $1,890 94¢ $2.1K +$202 10-19 15:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40,000 $1,960 5¢ $2.0K +$80 06-18 17:46
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $1,300 2¢ $1.9K +$650 10-09 02:23
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -1,791 -$1,547 88¢ $-1576 -$29 09-05 18:25
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +15,736 $1,588 9¢ $1.4K -$172 10-07 16:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,184 66¢ $-1330 -$146 09-02 10:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +32,689 $5,178 4¢ $1.3K -$3,920 09-16 15:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,348 $4,493 84¢ $1.1K -$3,361 10-23 17:19