Instructive-Billion 0x175747…884a8d Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$651
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
196
Trades
777
lifetime
Volume
$25.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$674
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-06 10:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
71% 61% +$869
Other
28% 71% -$158
Crypto
0% 0% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +135 $96 98¢ $133 +$38 11-04 04:39
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $37 99¢ $110 +$73 11-04 04:34
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? Yes +101 $79 97¢ $98 +$19 10-20 00:54
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000? Yes +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 11-04 16:10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%? Yes +70 $66 99¢ $69 +$2 11-04 15:29
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +58 $55 96¢ $56 +$1 09-22 19:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +35 $31 94¢ $33 +$2 11-04 15:26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +364 $110 9¢ $33 -$78 11-02 23:55
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000? Yes +30 $27 94¢ $28 +$1 11-04 15:54
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +29 $20 16¢ $5 -$15 11-04 05:09
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +29 $20 16¢ $5 -$15 11-04 05:07
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +250 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 11-03 00:26
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +163 -$9 1¢ $2 +$11 11-04 15:48
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -2 -$3 98¢ $-1 +$1 10-06 15:45
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +51 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-04 02:58
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +0 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 11-04 14:30