Realized P&L
-$778
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,760
lifetime
Volume
$353.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$6.67K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
73%
43%
$-913
Other
15%
100%
+$20
Crypto
8%
—
—
Sports
4%
100%
+$115
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 360 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 293 | $41.8K | 28,292 | 25,055 | +3,237 | open | — | 01-24 01:02 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 36 | $8.3K | 12,400 | 4,400 | +8,000 | open | — | 03-03 00:13 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 53 | $6.8K | 3,770 | 3,954 | -184 | open | — | 01-23 11:10 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 78 | $6.4K | 6,447 | 6,247 | +200 | open | — | 03-25 14:08 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 19 | $6.2K | 5,117 | 1,317 | +3,800 | open | — | 06-07 01:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 163 | $5.9K | 15,110 | 15,640 | -529 | open | — | 04-08 00:21 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 89 | $5.5K | 6,931 | 6,686 | +245 | open | — | 04-08 01:06 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 73 | $4.9K | 5,660 | 6,140 | -481 | open | — | 04-22 20:51 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 47 | $4.9K | 8,600 | 1,021 | +7,579 | open | — | 06-09 12:22 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 52 | $4.8K | 3,450 | 3,450 | +0 | open | — | 01-27 11:06 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 33 | $4.8K | 5,258 | 58 | +5,200 | open | — | 02-28 20:26 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 56 | $4.5K | 3,341 | 3,341 | +0 | open | — | 03-26 20:23 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 40 | $4.3K | 3,728 | 2,128 | +1,600 | open | — | 05-28 17:40 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 42 | $4.1K | 3,200 | 2,000 | +1,200 | open | — | 04-19 23:08 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 22 | $4.1K | 2,738 | 1,897 | +840 | open | — | 06-09 18:34 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 11 | $4.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | open | — | 02-03 19:53 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 106 | $3.6K | 5,642 | 4,196 | +1,447 | open | — | 04-07 22:16 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 94 | $3.6K | 4,030 | 4,600 | -570 | open | — | 04-25 16:11 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 23 | $3.5K | 2,183 | 1,582 | +601 | open | — | 03-21 14:34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 31 | $3.4K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | open | — | 05-12 04:28 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 101 | $3.4K | 8,186 | 8,598 | -412 | open | — | 01-17 00:55 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 35 | $3.3K | 2,508 | 1,308 | +1,200 | open | — | 03-10 08:47 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 22 | $3.2K | 2,400 | 1,400 | +1,000 | open | — | 04-09 00:11 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 74 | $3.0K | 2,078 | 2,078 | +0 | open | — | 05-01 20:17 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 67 | $3.0K | 3,400 | 3,300 | +100 | open | — | 02-20 02:19 |
| us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476 | 30 | $2.8K | 1,500 | 1,487 | +13 | open | — | 01-30 18:30 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 123 | $2.7K | 12,873 | 12,057 | +816 | open | — | 01-17 02:12 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 27 | $2.7K | 1,901 | 1,432 | +468 | open | — | 03-27 01:13 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 183 | $2.6K | 90,821 | 87,654 | +3,167 | open | — | 03-08 23:00 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | 28 | $2.6K | 1,400 | 1,400 | +0 | open | — | 05-18 15:01 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 453 | $3.81M | 66,319 | 06-09 21:50 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 435 | $438.7K | 4,545 | 06-09 00:36 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 402 | $55.4K | 16,302 | 06-09 16:53 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 374 | $70.3M | 110,883 | 06-09 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 360 | $162.2K | 67,981 | 04-18 03:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 357 | $35.1K | 23,848 | 06-05 16:02 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 343 | $1.15M | 90,497 | 06-01 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 330 | $389.9K | 34,265 | 04-07 21:29 |