Realized P&L
-$778
Unrealized P&L
+$199
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
8,389
lifetime
Volume
$410.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
73% 43% $-913
Other
15% 100% +$20
Crypto
8%
Sports
4% 100% +$115
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,644 86¢ $1.7K +$86 06-28 02:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,700 $1,616 100¢ $1.7K +$76 06-26 09:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $884 91¢ $910 +$26 06-25 20:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $776 81¢ $810 +$34 06-29 19:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +600 $585 100¢ $599 +$14 06-22 12:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +600 $590 100¢ $599 +$9 06-29 22:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +500 $454 100¢ $498 +$44 06-16 11:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -400 $-364 94¢ $-374 $-10 06-14 21:29
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -350 $-300 90¢ $-317 $-16 06-06 22:37
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +300 $297 100¢ $299 +$2 06-25 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +700 $339 36¢ $248 $-90 06-29 08:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +200 $193 100¢ $200 +$7 06-08 04:04
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 06-17 19:52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $178 92¢ $185 +$7 06-07 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +200 $132 73¢ $146 +$14 06-17 20:26
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -144 $-133 97¢ $-139 $-7 05-30 20:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -200 $-136 66¢ $-133 +$3 06-14 18:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +100 $86 100¢ $100 +$14 06-16 10:51
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-86 99¢ $-99 $-13 05-30 02:13
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-87 94¢ $-94 $-6 05-28 19:26
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-80 90¢ $-90 $-10 06-01 13:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -100 $-85 89¢ $-89 $-4 06-08 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $80 42¢ $85 +$5 06-26 06:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +100 $79 84¢ $84 +$4 06-13 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $72 84¢ $84 +$12 06-16 12:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $140 20¢ $78 $-62 06-23 10:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -73 $-68 94¢ $-69 $-1 05-29 09:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -400 $-116 16¢ $-66 +$50 06-10 21:21
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? No -66 $-65 100¢ $-65 $-1 06-07 08:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $47 59¢ $59 +$12 06-17 20:32