Realized P&L
-$778
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,760
lifetime
Volume
$353.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$6.67K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
73% 43% $-913
Other
15% 100% +$20
Crypto
8%
Sports
4% 100% +$115
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4,000 $3,262 82¢ $3.3K $-2 06-09 12:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,779 $536 18¢ $514 $-22 06-09 08:17
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -350 $-300 92¢ $-324 $-23 06-06 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $294 72¢ $290 $-4 06-07 08:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +300 $263 90¢ $272 +$8 06-06 22:54
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -300 $-211 66¢ $-200 +$12 06-07 23:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +200 $193 98¢ $195 +$2 06-08 04:04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $178 90¢ $179 +$1 06-07 22:17
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 88¢ $177 +$5 06-07 22:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $158 82¢ $163 +$5 06-09 18:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-154 76¢ $-151 +$3 06-08 23:09
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -144 $-133 92¢ $-132 +$1 05-30 20:55
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-87 92¢ $-92 $-4 05-28 19:26
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-86 90¢ $-90 $-4 05-30 02:13
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -100 $-85 86¢ $-86 $-1 06-08 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-80 85¢ $-85 $-5 06-01 13:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +100 $76 80¢ $80 +$4 06-06 22:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -100 $-78 80¢ $-80 $-2 05-30 08:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $86 38¢ $75 $-11 05-31 20:06
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -73 $-68 92¢ $-67 +$1 05-29 09:03
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? No -66 $-65 99¢ $-65 $-0 06-07 08:29
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $-70 12¢ $-57 +$13 06-07 09:07
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $22 12¢ $23 +$1 06-01 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +100 $35 10¢ $10 $-26 05-28 09:18
Another Canada election called by June 30? Yes -217 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-02 21:27