Realized P&L
+$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
700
Trades
13,261
lifetime
Volume
$623.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$21.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
63% 75% +$3,530
Other
17% 65% +$116
Crypto
16% 79% -$3,858
Sports
4% 73% +$1,454
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$13
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,000 $8,392 80¢ $8.8K +$409 10-28 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,800 $1,456 92¢ $1.7K +$209 10-17 16:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $587 82¢ $908 +$321 10-23 03:35
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +1,200 $798 76¢ $906 +$108 10-28 09:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $775 58¢ $819 +$44 10-27 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +500 $499 100¢ $499 +$0 10-20 05:57
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -500 -$470 100¢ $-498 -$28 05-05 22:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? No +500 $437 100¢ $498 +$61 10-20 07:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +600 $281 76¢ $459 +$178 10-23 22:53
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +502 $457 90¢ $452 -$5 10-21 02:29
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -600 -$167 74¢ $-447 -$280 05-28 18:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -400 -$364 97¢ $-388 -$24 07-01 21:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -400 -$364 97¢ $-387 -$23 06-14 21:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $185 91¢ $364 +$179 10-24 15:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +400 $333 86¢ $343 +$10 07-03 23:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +400 $173 84¢ $334 +$161 10-26 21:26
us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026 No +320 $306 99¢ $318 +$12 10-20 05:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +300 $216 99¢ $296 +$80 08-05 00:04
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +300 $243 97¢ $291 +$48 05-28 19:26
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -300 -$199 94¢ $-283 -$84 07-02 13:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -252 -$180 96¢ $-242 -$62 06-15 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $229 78¢ $234 +$5 10-22 18:05
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -227 -$204 97¢ $-220 -$16 05-11 09:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +241 $222 90¢ $218 -$4 10-15 17:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +200 $182 100¢ $200 +$18 09-04 19:45
iran leadership change by october 31 No +200 $176 99¢ $199 +$23 08-09 10:43
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026 No +200 $188 99¢ $199 +$11 07-28 10:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$188 98¢ $-196 -$7 08-03 01:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +200 $182 97¢ $195 +$13 07-31 03:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $152 96¢ $191 +$39 10-23 18:17