Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206ce…231362
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$510
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
364
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$1.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-30 15:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% +$36
Politics
17% 100% +$2
Sports
14% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,090 $556 80¢ $872 +$315 06-30 12:05
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -326 $-310 96¢ $-312 $-2 05-28 08:00
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +212 $130 99¢ $210 +$80 06-27 20:21
Blue wave in 2026? No -445 $-123 26¢ $-116 +$7 06-01 08:11
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +67 $56 92¢ $62 +$6 06-30 15:26
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +61 $50 86¢ $52 +$3 06-30 13:49
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No -58 $-45 80¢ $-46 $-2 05-28 10:31
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? No -38 $-34 86¢ $-33 +$2 05-28 10:01
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +35 $28 92¢ $32 +$4 06-01 19:37
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? No +35 $28 88¢ $31 +$3 06-02 20:28
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -32 $-28 96¢ $-31 $-2 06-01 08:04
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +100 $22 25¢ $25 +$3 06-30 04:37
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +40 $14 60¢ $24 +$10 06-02 17:02
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -1,282 $-109 2¢ $-23 +$86 06-30 15:14
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +26 $19 81¢ $21 +$2 06-25 22:42
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? No +32 $25 66¢ $21 $-3 06-01 18:24
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +22 $16 87¢ $19 +$3 06-01 18:57
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +27 $19 68¢ $18 $-1 06-25 18:41
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +52 $24 22¢ $11 $-12 06-30 15:42
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -14 $-9 64¢ $-9 +$0 06-12 09:15
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 06-30 10:58
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +6 $4 76¢ $5 +$0 06-01 21:33
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? Yes +12 $2 25¢ $3 +$1 06-28 12:28
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -5 $-9 45¢ $-2 +$7 06-26 03:16
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +25 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 06-26 03:02
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +47 $2 3¢ $2 $-1 06-25 14:19
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $1 $-3 06-10 17:23
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +14 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-29 20:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +0 $-2 66¢ $0 +$2 06-29 14:15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +0 $-0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-29 14:13