Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$457
$298 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$6,242
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 14:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $46 | $2 | +$44 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $234 | $234 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $35 | $2 | +$32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $144 | $138 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $12 | $87 | $75 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | +153 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-08 20:28 |
| Shameless-Temporary 0xfcf2…7279 | No | +134 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-04 20:41 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +88 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-01 21:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +70 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-02 02:17 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +27 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 20:28 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-08 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +10 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 06-08 08:06 |
| Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 02:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 06-10 11:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:07:09 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | No | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xd259a5… |
| 06-15 14:07:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xd259a5… |
| 06-10 11:34:28 | Quaint-Straw 0x8972…2283 | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xf0d52a… |
| 06-10 11:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xf0d52a… |
| 06-09 19:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x76e4eb… |
| 06-09 19:47:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x76e4eb… |
| 06-08 20:28:21 | Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | BUY | 153 | 57¢ | $87 | 0x9d6b3f… |
| 06-08 20:28:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 44¢ | $12 | 0x9d6b3f… |
| 06-08 20:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x9d6b3f… |
| 06-08 20:28:21 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 104 | 57¢ | $59 | 0x9d6b3f… |
| 06-08 20:28:21 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0x9d6b3f… |
| 06-08 09:26:00 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x9c01a4… |
| 06-08 09:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | SELL | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x9c01a4… |
| 06-08 08:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x32d89e… |
| 06-08 08:06:01 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | No | SELL | 7 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x32d89e… |
| 06-05 06:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $2 | 0xe41a06… |
| 06-05 06:59:01 | Sturdy-Rhetoric 0x2e9c…ef36 | No | SELL | 3 | 58¢ | $2 | 0xe41a06… |
| 06-04 20:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xe9e583… |
| 06-04 20:41:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0xe9e583… |
| 06-04 20:41:15 | Shameless-Temporary 0xfcf2…7279 | No | BUY | 134 | 70¢ | $94 | 0xe9e583… |
| 06-02 02:17:00 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x4911f7… |
| 06-02 02:17:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x4911f7… |
| 06-01 21:39:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x256c93… |
| 06-01 21:39:11 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 43 | 56¢ | $25 | 0x256c93… |
| 06-01 21:39:11 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 24 | 56¢ | $13 | 0x256c93… |
| 05-28 12:36:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 42¢ | $19 | 0xc6b1a9… |
| 05-28 12:36:09 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 45 | 58¢ | $26 | 0xc6b1a9… |