Realized P&L
+$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$444
Hit rate
77.4%
Resolved
153
Trades
1,003
lifetime
Volume
$36.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$3.23K
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 10-28 04:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
64% 69% +$1,638
Other
36% 62% +$126
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,726 $624 56¢ $962 +$338 08-17 19:58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +561 $370 62¢ $350 -$19 10-27 15:53
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +870 $275 40¢ $344 +$68 10-28 05:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +402 $189 68¢ $271 +$82 09-13 21:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +334 $228 68¢ $226 -$3 10-26 15:50
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +243 $202 92¢ $222 +$21 08-06 17:16
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +261 $160 63¢ $164 +$4 10-27 15:53
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +371 $115 38¢ $143 +$28 10-02 18:58
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +235 $81 40¢ $94 +$13 10-23 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +86 $72 92¢ $79 +$7 08-06 17:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +105 $64 64¢ $68 +$4 10-22 19:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +85 $60 70¢ $59 -$1 10-22 19:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +81 $57 70¢ $56 -$1 10-22 19:40
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +74 $44 60¢ $44 $0 10-28 01:42
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +91 $35 34¢ $31 -$5 10-22 19:40
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +90 $27 34¢ $31 +$3 10-22 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +31 $24 85¢ $26 +$2 08-14 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +42 $21 62¢ $26 +$5 10-15 15:51
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +53 $15 34¢ $18 +$3 10-12 17:36
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +22 $9 36¢ $8 -$1 10-22 19:42
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +17 $8 45¢ $8 +$0 10-22 19:43
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +95 $66 2¢ $1 -$64 10-25 18:25
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +82 $26 0¢ $0 -$26 10-27 19:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $11 20¢ $0 -$11 09-14 16:03
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +0 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 09-22 10:35