Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
248
lifetime
Volume
$2.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$143
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-10 05:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53%
Other
40%
Tech
6%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $28 +$1 07-07 10:32
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +42 $25 60¢ $25 +$0 07-10 03:59
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +19 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 06-18 08:31
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +17 $16 98¢ $17 +$1 06-27 20:47
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 60¢ $12 +$1 07-07 10:43
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 07-06 11:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-18 14:44
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 06-28 11:39
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 07-08 18:26
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 07-09 03:26
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +6 $3 46¢ $3 $-0 07-08 07:55
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-22 06:25