(anonymous) 0xec4721…f70c22
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
118
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$513
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 11:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76% — —
Other
21% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +439 $425 97¢ $427 +$2 06-18 01:19
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +35 $34 99¢ $35 +$0 06-15 16:38
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +19 $17 86¢ $17 $-0 06-18 08:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-18 14:44
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $6 80¢ $6 $-1 06-16 13:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-18 12:45
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-19 11:09
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 06-18 14:53
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 60¢ $4 +$0 06-18 16:09
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +12 $2 20¢ $2 +$1 06-15 13:42
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -9 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 12:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 57¢ $0 +$0 06-19 09:07