Realized P&L
+$340.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$39.5K
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
444
Trades
7,755
lifetime
Volume
$2.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$349
Open exposure
$245.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-01 04:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
75% 70% +$302,371
Other
20% 59% +$26,080
Sports
4% 72% +$12,255
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +47,192 $15,689 52¢ $24.3K +$8,615 10-28 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +28,000 $17,878 70¢ $19.7K +$1,862 10-26 15:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +26,344 $17,085 68¢ $17.8K +$697 10-27 15:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40,003 $14,358 43¢ $17.2K +$2,863 08-17 19:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +18,993 $14,620 84¢ $16.0K +$1,429 10-29 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +15,959 $13,617 97¢ $15.6K +$1,935 07-23 15:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $9,232 70¢ $14.1K +$4,868 09-13 21:42
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +14,897 $10,277 86¢ $12.7K +$2,459 10-28 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +17,694 $10,844 68¢ $11.9K +$1,099 10-27 15:53
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,665 $8,216 97¢ $9.4K +$1,203 07-21 06:30
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +9,079 $7,375 93¢ $8.4K +$1,069 08-06 17:16
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +13,047 $7,665 64¢ $8.4K +$685 10-29 23:42
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,497 $4,649 52¢ $8.1K +$3,487 10-02 18:57
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +9,479 $6,950 84¢ $8.0K +$1,060 10-17 15:46
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +8,849 $7,098 86¢ $7.6K +$468 10-28 17:29
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +17,301 $5,439 44¢ $7.5K +$2,087 10-28 17:57
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +15,296 $5,243 48¢ $7.4K +$2,176 10-23 14:33
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +12,682 $4,271 44¢ $5.5K +$1,245 10-28 17:57
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +7,956 $3,183 64¢ $5.1K +$1,949 10-01 11:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,401 $4,353 74¢ $4.7K +$352 10-21 18:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6,099 $4,148 74¢ $4.5K +$335 10-21 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3,253 $2,647 93¢ $3.0K +$378 08-06 17:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +6,973 $2,521 36¢ $2.5K -$45 10-22 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +3,205 $1,494 70¢ $2.3K +$765 10-16 22:14
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +1,297 $506 59¢ $765 +$259 10-28 05:12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +727 $487 86¢ $629 +$142 08-14 19:12
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +1,677 $606 36¢ $595 -$11 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +531 -$81 97¢ $515 +$596 10-20 15:35
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +30,500 $458 1¢ $412 -$46 10-31 09:19
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +6,817 $4,650 3¢ $184 -$4,466 10-29 17:52