Realized P&L
+$35
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$195
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-04 17:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
44%
Politics
35% 60% +$35
Tech
16%
Crypto
5%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +201 $8 $11 +$3 06-30 21:08
Discord IPO before 2027? No +18 $7 61¢ $11 +$4 06-30 21:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-9 61¢ $-10 $-1 06-21 03:43
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +125 $10 $9 $-1 06-27 16:56
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +16 $8 59¢ $9 +$1 06-30 23:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -11 $-8 80¢ $-9 $-1 06-18 18:43
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +22 $8 38¢ $8 +$0 06-29 13:20
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +14 $8 58¢ $8 $-0 07-04 05:13
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +13 $8 62¢ $8 $-0 07-03 15:47
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -10 $-6 76¢ $-8 $-2 06-26 00:45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +24 $8 32¢ $7 $-1 07-02 19:41
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $8 $7 $-1 07-01 08:01
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +39 $8 18¢ $7 $-1 07-03 03:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +127 $8 $7 $-1 06-29 17:21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +114 $8 $6 $-2 07-01 07:28
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? Yes +130 $6 $6 $-0 06-28 23:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $5 33¢ $6 +$1 07-04 10:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -45 $-8 12¢ $-6 +$2 06-19 19:03
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -243 $-7 $-6 +$2 06-18 16:19
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 28¢ $5 $-3 06-30 23:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $7 $5 $-2 07-04 07:37
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +101 $4 $5 +$1 06-28 10:58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -26 $-4 18¢ $-5 $-1 06-25 08:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +44 $5 11¢ $5 $-1 07-04 11:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +39 $4 11¢ $4 +$0 07-03 21:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes -26 $-5 14¢ $-4 +$2 06-20 16:51
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -7 $-3 48¢ $-3 $-0 06-23 11:00
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -23 $-3 14¢ $-3 $-1 06-23 11:00
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes -47 $-1 $-3 $-2 06-18 21:07
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -42 $-5 $-3 +$1 06-22 12:06