Splendid-Progression 0xf13f33…f531cb
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$35
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
94
lifetime
Volume
$243
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$49
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-14 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
62% 60% +$35
Other
26% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -7 $-5 82¢ $-6 $-1 06-11 19:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +15 $3 40¢ $6 +$3 06-13 19:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +13 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 06-14 17:23
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +250 $5 2¢ $5 $-0 06-11 11:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-4 53¢ $-4 +$0 06-13 20:18
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -26 $-4 16¢ $-4 +$0 06-12 02:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +19 $4 18¢ $3 $-1 06-14 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +72 $5 4¢ $3 $-2 06-14 08:45
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -33 $-3 10¢ $-3 +$0 06-11 01:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -6 $-5 44¢ $-3 +$2 06-11 15:08
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -25 $-3 11¢ $-3 +$0 06-11 15:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 05-29 00:49
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -29 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-14 07:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -15 $-1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-11 09:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -14 $-2 3¢ $-0 +$2 06-11 13:35
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 44¢ $0 $-0 06-13 16:30