Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$58
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 06-13 18:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +26 $11 64¢ $17 +$6 06-12 17:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +96 $8 11¢ $11 +$3 06-12 15:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 50¢ $5 $-1 06-12 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $2 45¢ $2 +$0 06-13 17:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $2 $1 $-1 06-12 19:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-12 15:38