Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
440
lifetime
Volume
$1.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$108
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-05 18:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
43%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +19 $16 91¢ $17 +$1 06-26 21:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 06-28 07:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +14 $5 100¢ $14 +$8 06-30 16:56
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-27 20:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 06-27 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-26 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +61 $12 16¢ $10 $-2 07-05 08:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +12 $-3 84¢ $10 +$13 07-01 15:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 07-01 10:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 06-24 15:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +20 $2 $0 $-2 06-30 03:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -8 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-14 21:55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +4 $2 $0 $-2 06-28 14:48