Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
34
lifetime
Volume
$225
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$80
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-09 19:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48%
Crypto
39%
Politics
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +27 $24 88¢ $24 $-0 06-08 03:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +31 $24 72¢ $22 $-2 06-08 06:20
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-08 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +122 $14 10¢ $12 $-2 06-09 17:29
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +70 $7 12¢ $8 +$1 06-08 21:33