Realized P&L
+$913
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
18,630
Trades
104,332
lifetime
Volume
$343.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$252
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-27 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
80% 38% +$1,133
Crypto
19% 44% -$188
Sports
1% 44% -$26
Politics
0% 48% -$7
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 7251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +99 $70 78¢ $77 +$8 10-27 06:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +43 $29 85¢ $36 +$7 07-18 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +100 $27 22¢ $22 -$5 10-27 06:49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +20 $8 76¢ $15 +$7 10-27 04:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 10-26 12:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 91¢ $9 +$2 10-26 06:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +8 $4 92¢ $7 +$3 07-17 23:01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +30 $14 24¢ $7 -$7 10-27 04:58
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +39 $11 15¢ $6 -$5 07-17 22:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$0 07-23 20:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-07 19:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-30 22:05
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-08 08:25
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-28 05:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$2 07-02 05:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +10 $3 45¢ $4 +$1 10-25 18:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 07-24 09:07
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$2 06-30 05:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 07-22 17:21
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$1 07-07 12:08
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-11 03:13
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$1 07-11 18:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$1 06-30 15:16
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 07-05 02:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 06-29 20:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +13 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 10-26 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-25 20:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 9¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:49
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-25 15:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-12 21:13