Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13,966
lifetime
Volume
$36.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$68
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-20 18:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Crypto
33%
Politics
3%
Sports
2%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 1146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +39 $11 52¢ $20 +$9 07-17 22:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +43 $29 48¢ $20 $-9 07-18 09:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +8 $4 60¢ $5 +$1 07-17 23:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 06-30 22:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 07-02 05:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 07-20 16:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 07-12 14:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +4 $2 40¢ $2 $-0 07-08 22:26
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$1 06-30 15:16
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 07-05 02:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 07-11 18:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 07-11 18:53
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 07-20 18:44
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $-0 90¢ $1 +$1 07-07 12:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $-1 07-02 07:30
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-05 02:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-02 09:04
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 07-03 06:15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 06-28 12:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-30 15:13
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 08:14
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 07-13 03:03