Realized P&L
+$880
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
18,969
Trades
105,373
lifetime
Volume
$347.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$496
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-30 04:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
80% 38% +$1,154
Crypto
19% 44% -$242
Sports
1% 44% -$26
Politics
0% 48% -$7
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 7251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +131 $84 92¢ $121 +$38 10-30 05:13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +70 $28 76¢ $53 +$25 10-30 05:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +43 $29 85¢ $36 +$7 07-18 09:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +46 $9 63¢ $29 +$20 10-29 21:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +38 $19 64¢ $25 +$6 10-30 01:13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +52 $38 37¢ $19 -$19 10-29 22:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +19 $18 98¢ $19 +$1 10-28 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +30 $8 60¢ $18 +$10 10-30 01:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +20 $13 90¢ $18 +$5 10-29 23:50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +60 $35 24¢ $15 -$21 10-30 05:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $17 36¢ $13 -$4 10-30 01:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +140 $44 8¢ $11 -$34 10-30 05:13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-28 14:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-29 17:37
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? No +10 $5 89¢ $9 +$4 10-30 00:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +10 $6 86¢ $9 +$2 10-30 00:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30? Yes +10 $5 84¢ $8 +$4 10-30 01:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +20 $2 40¢ $8 +$6 10-29 16:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? No +10 $2 74¢ $7 +$5 10-30 00:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +8 $4 90¢ $7 +$3 07-17 23:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? Yes +10 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 10-30 00:09
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +39 $11 15¢ $6 -$5 07-17 22:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 07-23 20:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-30 22:05
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-07 19:14
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 07-08 08:25
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-28 05:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$2 07-02 05:09
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +5 $3 85¢ $4 +$2 06-30 05:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 07-24 09:07