Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,777
lifetime
Volume
$2.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-29 23:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
22%
Tech
11%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 99¢ $4 +$1 06-11 02:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -11 $-2 34¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 20:07
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-16 18:17
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +31 $2 $0 $-1 06-27 21:31
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +8 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 23:26
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? No +20 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 12:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -14 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-18 19:23
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 20:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -15 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-17 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-26 04:26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? Yes +7 $2 $0 $-2 06-18 12:15
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 14:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 22:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 18¢ $0 $-0 06-16 18:17