Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
310
Trades
1,789
lifetime
Volume
$1.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 08-24 16:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% -$22
Politics
26% 49% +$38
Tech
7% 33% -$9
Sports
5% 38% +$11
Crypto
3% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +3 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 08-03 16:03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 08-07 13:16
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1 $0 7¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:29
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-13 01:19
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 08-18 14:07
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 08-19 13:46
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-08 23:20
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-10 23:22
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:26
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-12 12:30