Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
331
lifetime
Volume
$270
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-17 00:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
34%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? Yes -457 $-9 $-3 +$6 06-05 18:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +109 $3 $3 $-0 06-16 15:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes +153 $2 $2 $-0 06-17 04:46
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +75 $2 $1 $-0 06-16 23:00
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +66 $1 $1 +$0 06-17 05:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -50 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-16 17:26
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 11:25
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $1 +$0 06-17 03:30
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 21:08
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +45 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 19:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +25 $1 $1 +$0 06-16 21:57
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 15:17
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 02:18
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 06-17 03:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +63 $2 $1 $-1 06-11 03:41
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +14 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 02:50
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +27 $0 $0 +$0 06-16 18:31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? Yes +3 $0 $0 +$0 06-16 22:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +100 $0 $0 $-0 06-16 14:40