Realized P&L (90d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved (90d)
140
Trades (90d)
150
1,664 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$87
$1.20K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 08-24 16:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% -$22
Politics
26% 49% +$38
Tech
7% 33% -$9
Sports
5% 38% +$11
Crypto
3% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +3 $0 16¢ $0 +$1 08-03 16:03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 08-07 13:16
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-13 01:19
greece x turkey military engagement by december 31 Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 $0 08-21 18:33
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-07 16:00
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:29
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-18 14:07
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-10 23:22
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 07-08 23:20
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:26
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-12 12:30
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-19 13:46