Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-18

last 09-10 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

57% 60% +$167

Other

43% 53% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes		+0	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	09-10 21:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	8	$292	171	171	+0	Yes	+$10	06-22 15:21
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$248	142	142	+0	Yes	-$3	08-05 02:06
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	4	$236	132	132	+0	No	+$9	09-10 21:14
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	3	$144	81	81	+0	Yes	+$5	09-10 21:14
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	4	$130	137	0	+137	No	+$7	06-27 21:30
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	16	$124	199	135	+64	No	+$32	08-26 01:11
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	4	$117	81	81	+0	Yes	-$3	09-10 21:14
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?	2	$105	110	0	+110	Yes	+$6	07-05 20:28
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$104	222	56	+166	Yes	+$117	07-01 01:04
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	7	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$11	07-01 20:41
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	1	$94	107	0	+107	Yes	+$13	08-21 05:26
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	2	$88	47	47	+0	Yes	+$3	09-10 21:14
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?	2	$87	47	47	+0	No	+$0	09-10 21:14
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	5	$84	106	0	+106	Yes	+$22	08-05 03:10
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	2	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	09-10 21:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	7	$78	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 21:14
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	7	$78	138	0	+138	Yes	+$60	07-13 15:46
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	6	$77	107	31	+76	No	-$35	08-12 02:37
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	2	$77	40	40	+0	No	-$3	09-10 21:14
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?	2	$75	39	38	+0	No	-$1	09-10 21:14
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	1	$74	79	0	+79	Yes	+$4	06-23 12:09
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	4	$72	37	37	+0	Yes	+$2	08-12 00:26
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	2	$68	37	37	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 21:14
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	1	$68	73	0	+73	Yes	+$5	08-06 17:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	2	$66	36	36	+0	Yes	-$3	09-10 21:14
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	2	$63	45	44	+0	Yes	-$17	09-07 06:34
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?	2	$63	35	35	+0	Yes	-$3	09-10 21:14
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	4	$61	66	0	+66	No	+$5	08-05 02:50
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	2	$59	128	0	+128	Yes	+$69	09-06 15:29
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	7	$56	53	53	+0	Yes	+$2	08-12 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 21:14:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xbabca9…
09-10 21:14:19	Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xab59de…
09-10 21:14:18	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xf40fd8…
09-10 21:14:18	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xf3a616…
09-10 21:14:18	Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xe723a5…
09-10 21:14:18	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x301582…
09-10 21:14:16	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x6b9443…
09-10 21:14:12	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x91094e…
09-10 21:14:12	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x16755b…
09-10 21:14:10	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?	No	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0xe53def…
09-10 21:14:10	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x7fcbb0…
09-10 21:14:10	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x7dc9b7…
09-10 21:14:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0xfb6e3e…
09-10 21:14:09	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x36db0f…
09-10 21:14:09	Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x1ebcdf…
09-10 21:14:09	Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x193c28…
09-10 21:14:07	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xd4389b…
09-10 21:14:07	Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0xc86f1d…
09-10 21:14:07	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$37	0x2fd73f…
09-10 21:14:07	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	SELL	38	19¢	$7	0x2a3881…
09-10 21:14:06	Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0xd6948c…
09-10 21:14:06	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	42	32¢	$13	0x8904a6…
09-10 21:14:06	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x37add3…
09-10 21:14:06	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0x259f3e…
09-10 21:14:04	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	81	70¢	$57	0xf38b42…
09-10 21:14:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	92¢	$75	0xc0569e…
09-10 21:14:04	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xbe1c36…
09-10 21:14:04	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	132	93¢	$123	0x2c7ea3…
09-10 21:14:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	15¢	$14	0x55fd38…
09-10 18:18:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	17¢	$16	0xb75e0f…
09-10 16:15:00	Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?	AfD	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7d1e57…
09-09 19:51:31	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2aa69d…
09-08 21:49:45	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	55	85¢	$46	0x99f877…
09-08 21:47:52	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb1268c…
09-08 21:18:15	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x810978…
09-08 18:26:10	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	38	75¢	$29	0xc6e044…
09-08 16:55:10	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0xc087a0…
09-08 12:57:25	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0f97b8…
09-07 06:37:22	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x5b8eac…
09-07 06:34:46	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	SELL	44	52¢	$23	0xf3f884…
09-06 18:24:39	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x598c2a…
09-06 17:48:19	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xc485cf…
09-06 17:31:10	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1bb123…
09-06 17:29:19	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xa55360…
09-06 17:25:07	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x08647f…
09-06 17:09:54	Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xb74c74…
09-06 15:31:09	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Over	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x35c883…
09-06 15:29:19	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xe97a82…
09-06 11:24:55	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0xce57c3…
09-06 11:05:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe4d0cf…
09-05 23:48:21	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4bbd06…
09-05 23:48:03	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x550b69…
09-05 21:04:28	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x9a33cd…
09-05 16:13:48	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Over	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x18e662…
09-02 06:06:03	Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x12b226…
09-02 05:31:13	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x8fb37c…
09-02 05:26:28	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x39f8e7…
09-01 20:12:57	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xfc4c87…
09-01 16:31:18	Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	51¢	$19	0x908a17…
09-01 14:36:46	Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0feee7…
09-01 07:31:04	Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeef4fa…
08-30 11:00:04	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x954385…
08-29 23:10:45	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x09d7de…
08-29 12:17:16	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xa9e728…
08-28 20:17:01	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x264fc8…
08-26 02:18:39	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	77	8¢	$6	0xd5757c…
08-26 01:11:03	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb1febe…
08-26 01:10:45	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x67dc61…
08-26 01:07:42	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x184f03…
08-26 01:00:46	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xbb1ec3…
08-26 00:41:27	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	42	31¢	$13	0xa40895…
08-26 00:41:10	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xcb3b1b…
08-26 00:40:10	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x9dfd42…
08-26 00:39:51	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x9f4092…
08-26 00:39:31	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xdcf5f2…
08-26 00:39:12	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xfbb0d8…
08-26 00:39:12	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x47281c…
08-25 23:42:49	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x3aa195…
08-25 23:42:27	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0x2792c4…
08-25 23:29:36	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x6ed240…
08-25 23:29:16	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x6b10af…
08-25 18:17:10	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd76edf…
08-25 18:07:16	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x365e98…
08-25 16:46:04	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xcc101a…
08-25 16:45:48	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xee4602…
08-25 16:44:49	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0xf5011f…
08-25 16:44:24	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xa9d002…
08-25 15:44:27	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x52b7ce…
08-25 15:44:25	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	116	24¢	$28	0x467e20…
08-25 12:08:55	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x15e1a3…
08-23 09:58:49	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc44136…
08-22 07:45:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x568125…
08-22 07:41:19	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0b7c54…
08-21 05:26:12	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	107	88¢	$94	0xf314d6…
08-17 19:58:21	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$15	0xffe7ac…
08-17 13:34:18	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfa8544…
08-17 13:19:42	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xf3c89e…
08-17 12:00:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x027695…
08-14 19:12:21	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x54cc83…
08-12 11:02:37	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbaae8e…