Whimsical-Harmony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,155

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

74% 67% +$1

Politics

24% 17% +$6

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	+10	$2	24¢	$2	$-0	06-10 22:13
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Yes	+15	$2	11¢	$2	$-1	06-02 05:12
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	06-04 23:31
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	3¢	$1	+$0	06-09 19:47
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	+20	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	06-03 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	6	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	03-15 11:41
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	4	$38	105	105	+0	open	—	04-08 20:18
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	9	$30	28	28	+0	open	—	03-21 10:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	01-31 20:49
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-01 21:28
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 18:21
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-07 18:45
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 18:21
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	03-22 15:52
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 18:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$17	24	24	+0	open	—	04-08 05:56
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$17	22	22	+0	open	—	04-08 06:54
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	01-26 18:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	01-07 12:22
highest temperature in warsaw on april 9 2026 9c	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 20:12
us strike on colombia by january 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	01-26 18:22
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	01-06 10:24
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 8c	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 14:15
highest temperature in milan on april 7 2026 23c	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-07 14:54
highest temperature in miami on april 10 2026 76 77f	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 09:40
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	01-26 18:22
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 11c	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-26 13:32
highest temperature in nyc on march 26 2026 66forhigher	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-26 22:14
highest temperature in atlanta on april 17 2026 90 91f	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 06:15
highest temperature in singapore on april 10 2026 33c	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 08:39
highest temperature in warsaw on april 9 2026 8c	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-09 20:12
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-03 15:12
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-08 16:52
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-15 11:40
highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 76 77f	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:13:34	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8f5dc2…
06-10 21:26:42	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xe835fa…
06-10 21:26:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x93c84c…
06-10 21:25:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	SELL	57	14¢	$8	0x2dcd3c…
06-10 21:25:16	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd75f4a…
06-10 16:03:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x4e84d3…
06-10 15:18:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x795208…
06-10 10:58:18	will ethereum dip to 1100 june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb85b18…
06-10 10:58:00	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x16f159…
06-10 10:57:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x432e11…
06-10 07:36:09	will russia enter borova by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x96c66c…
06-09 20:28:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x5d17ba…
06-09 19:47:54	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc17b72…
06-09 13:50:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xabaa9d…
06-09 09:17:25	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x473084…
06-09 09:14:54	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4bf052…
06-08 12:21:57	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x63153a…
06-08 10:49:13	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x442ee1…
06-05 21:25:27	will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x160a98…
06-05 09:48:09	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x043f78…
06-05 08:54:43	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xaaf21a…
06-04 23:31:30	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x4a0a3e…
06-04 00:00:42	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x3f51af…
06-03 14:56:54	US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3a91cc…
06-03 13:06:21	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xda868e…
06-02 14:23:34	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x6c2dfd…
06-02 13:40:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1d33d2…
06-02 05:12:50	Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x61abdf…
06-01 16:46:03	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7ac1ad…
06-01 14:34:27	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5212bf…
06-01 13:47:25	Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x3bf296…
06-01 11:12:34	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xa1dd18…
06-01 10:55:28	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x486f30…
06-01 10:55:21	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x59f3b3…
06-01 10:55:14	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc893b1…
06-01 10:47:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf295d0…
06-01 10:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x07e126…
05-29 17:31:20	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x417f96…
05-29 11:23:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x95f2d8…
05-29 11:22:52	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa68b54…
05-28 13:36:24	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6c3652…
05-27 14:21:15	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf85afe…
05-27 12:25:41	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x555103…
05-27 07:14:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x8766c5…
05-27 06:10:29	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf2f08d…
05-27 05:35:42	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfcc93a…
05-27 00:20:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xbf26bd…
05-26 23:44:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x15f4c5…
05-26 21:25:14	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xda485f…
05-26 20:09:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x14a99b…
05-26 20:08:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb1ce28…
05-26 18:57:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa6bea4…
05-26 12:59:54	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x650431…
05-26 12:49:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xf0cadd…
05-26 12:08:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd82301…
05-26 10:00:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8efe8…
05-26 07:26:28	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7c3055…
05-26 07:18:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbed402…
05-26 07:17:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb80c8c…
05-26 06:54:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x67b5df…
05-26 06:52:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xb6dc23…
05-26 06:48:05	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x186229…
05-25 15:48:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x19cd69…
05-25 15:23:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6cf8ba…
05-25 15:21:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb9a004…
05-25 15:01:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4ce1f0…
05-25 13:48:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x9c4b01…
05-25 13:28:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xb7d219…
05-25 11:54:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x262a52…
05-25 11:44:50	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfba151…
05-25 10:04:51	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xbf2c28…
05-25 08:56:54	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x769d33…
05-24 20:24:22	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x92c6a6…
05-24 07:02:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3159d8…
05-24 07:01:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb084cf…
05-24 03:09:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x421555…
05-23 18:22:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf026d7…
05-23 18:02:26	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$0	0x756ceb…
05-23 18:00:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x68b085…
05-23 17:55:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x560f5d…
05-23 17:33:16	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xca5c1d…
05-23 10:43:39	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xa7b0e6…
05-23 10:03:20	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x812c43…
05-23 09:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xac791c…
05-23 06:46:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0xad1659…
05-23 06:46:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x24158a…
05-23 03:08:23	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x00961b…
05-22 21:10:20	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x59301f…
05-22 20:50:16	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x4e67e5…
05-22 20:41:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x414187…
05-22 20:38:04	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc20640…
05-22 14:07:30	Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x092f22…
05-22 09:49:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb33e49…
05-22 09:42:44	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xee8455…
05-22 09:22:13	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x0abac2…
05-22 07:03:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2794ed…
05-22 07:01:21	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1141fc…
05-22 06:50:47	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9c27bc…
05-21 15:39:53	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xcc6e33…
05-21 15:37:49	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1f9e2c…