Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
1,032
Trades
1,866
lifetime
Volume
$3.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$72
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-13 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
67% 51% -$65
Politics
27% 29% +$84
Sports
4% 17% -$15
Crypto
1% 0% -$19
Tech
1% 10% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +30 $1 65¢ $19 +$18 08-07 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 90¢ $7 +$5 06-23 07:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $2 34¢ $5 +$3 05-27 09:20
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 -$1 05-09 13:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 -$3 86¢ $-4 -$1 05-01 18:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -5 -$4 79¢ $-4 $0 05-22 07:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -5 -$4 72¢ $-4 +$1 08-06 13:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 05-02 13:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 -$1 06-10 07:27
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 06-16 21:05
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $2 +$0 07-24 14:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +15 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 07-23 02:28
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 $0 09-13 14:53
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -10 -$1 13¢ $-1 -$1 04-28 17:44
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 06-20 14:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $0 05-19 02:00
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 +$1 06-09 20:39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-04 13:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 06-23 05:41
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -34 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 11:27
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$2 06-10 22:13
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +10 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 05-27 15:01
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-26 00:20
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 08-28 16:36
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 Yes +25 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 07-28 12:18
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-25 14:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -5 -$2 11¢ $-1 +$2 05-18 18:32
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 $0 08-08 11:10
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-18 18:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +50 $1 1¢ $0 $0 05-18 03:25