Creepy-Mariachi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$256

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

7,117

Trades

7,365

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-27 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 87% -$145

Other

6% 47% -$65

Politics

3% 33% -$30

Sports

3% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No		+23	$16	94¢	$22	+$6	06-15 08:42
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes		+23	$9	6¢	$1	-$7	06-16 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?	26	$199	183	171	+11	Yes	-$22	06-18 07:56
will julian alvarez score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411105	6	$155	115	115	+0	No	-$4	07-12 04:40
will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	8	$138	146	146	+0	Yes	-$3	06-22 12:35
will christian pulisic score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649594	7	$82	150	50	+100	No	-$11	06-30 08:05
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	15	$80	121	31	+90	No	-$5	06-18 13:31
will lamine yamal score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932025	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	-$2	06-25 21:19
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	3	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	07-03 02:53
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	2	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-27 21:04
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	5	$46	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-30 07:21
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	8	$46	49	43	+6	No	-$2	06-18 09:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	5	$39	43	37	+6	Yes	-$1	06-18 14:06
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	-$24	07-12 04:40
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	4	$35	40	40	+0	open	—	06-18 00:10
will databricks valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184745127	2	$34	50	50	+0	No	-$18	07-12 04:40
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$34	62	16	+46	open	—	06-16 11:08
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	06-19 05:53
will trump speak to elon musk in june	13	$24	35	35	+0	No	-$1	06-18 17:51
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:45 UTC	4	$21	10	20	-10	Down	+$9	01-31 17:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-17 21:58
will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	07-12 04:34
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$5	06-18 00:03
will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	06-19 02:06
will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	4	$18	26	16	+10	Yes	-$10	07-12 04:40
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	3	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	06-17 02:01
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?	2	$18	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-24 11:12
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	5	$13	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-23 14:30
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-17 02:31
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	4	$11	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-18 13:31
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	06-17 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3c2456…
10-27 01:59:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xab4c33…
10-26 23:49:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfa5e69…
10-26 19:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf5d477…
10-26 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c6467…
10-20 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x899042…
10-20 17:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5a6a4f…
10-20 17:19:33	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc8a774…
10-20 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9585ba…
10-20 15:39:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x14af59…
10-20 15:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc74568…
10-20 13:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd7fe27…
10-20 12:54:33	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x30c894…
10-20 11:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2f9b77…
10-16 04:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x48b67f…
10-16 04:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x1f6e07…
10-16 03:14:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcc66cb…
10-16 02:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4ba975…
10-16 02:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbee1ca…
10-16 02:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x616013…
10-16 02:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x07d105…
10-16 02:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x85896c…
10-16 01:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x71494e…
10-16 01:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3ab4d0…
10-16 01:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb2b223…
10-16 01:09:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcc6328…
10-16 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2719e0…
10-16 00:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3d41a2…
10-16 00:09:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x37f44d…
10-15 23:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xccac96…
10-15 23:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcafdbc…
10-15 23:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xae0423…
10-15 23:39:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfb5d84…
10-15 23:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x266bd6…
10-15 23:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x57381e…
10-15 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa1654b…
10-15 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf701d6…
10-15 22:59:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2d4c8c…
10-15 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd975a1…
10-15 22:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe9f98f…
10-15 22:14:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xff1a1f…
10-15 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb421b5…
10-15 09:44:02	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9a8ba6…
10-15 09:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5e2049…
10-15 09:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe6717e…
10-15 09:39:02	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xb73f04…
10-15 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x2f630e…
10-15 09:34:04	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xd426c1…
10-15 09:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x82d266…
10-15 09:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5d8d11…
10-15 09:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1cf3b9…
10-15 09:24:02	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd9d4d3…
10-15 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa73287…
10-15 09:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x857c0b…
10-15 09:14:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbf9ac7…
10-15 09:14:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x95f3ba…
10-15 09:09:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8e299f…
10-15 09:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xdb0b7b…
10-15 09:09:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x67ea25…
10-15 09:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xf09868…
10-15 09:04:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x11ba32…
10-15 09:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x00bdc5…
10-15 08:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x7e45f1…
10-15 08:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa8fe39…
10-15 08:54:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x363486…
10-15 08:44:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3acd5c…
10-15 08:39:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xef9b75…
10-15 08:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xd63d18…
10-15 08:39:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x8ac9f3…
10-15 08:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb2ec66…
10-15 08:29:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0527dd…
10-15 08:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xb7208e…
10-15 08:14:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdb5282…
10-15 08:14:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc3f2c3…
10-15 08:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x10be24…
10-15 07:59:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa34ec4…
10-15 07:54:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x128b8a…
10-15 07:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x639025…
10-15 07:34:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4d804c…
10-15 07:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1b9256…
10-15 07:24:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb3cc7e…
10-15 07:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x6403d0…
10-15 07:24:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x617646…
10-15 07:14:04	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xbae032…
10-15 07:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x67cac5…
10-15 07:09:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x6e3dcf…
10-15 07:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x387591…
10-15 07:09:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2fe24a…
10-15 07:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x67fda8…
10-15 07:04:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x2d2a25…
10-15 07:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x033306…
10-15 06:59:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x17c6a9…
10-15 06:54:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x453d75…
10-15 06:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x614008…
10-15 06:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x48ef27…
10-15 06:39:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x41fcba…
10-15 06:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe9c0c9…
10-15 06:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x1eb3d6…
10-15 06:09:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x45618e…
10-15 06:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1f2081…