Fitting-Fiber 0xd3e3f2…1467dc
7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$927
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
88
Trades
563
lifetime
Volume
$29.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$2.54K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 13:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
49% 62% -$110
Other
47% 71% +$966
Tech
2% 100% +$9
Sports
2% 100% +$61
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $310 68¢ $342 +$32 07-12 04:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -421 -$261 78¢ $-330 -$69 05-20 00:13
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +300 $292 100¢ $300 +$8 09-22 23:51
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +300 $287 95¢ $285 -$2 05-01 22:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -300 -$240 94¢ $-283 -$43 05-18 23:55
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +200 $158 100¢ $200 +$42 08-27 07:56
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $191 98¢ $195 +$4 04-29 10:48
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -179 -$100 98¢ $-174 -$75 05-11 19:26
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +701 $171 20¢ $140 -$31 10-30 13:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +500 $130 22¢ $108 -$22 09-15 21:07
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +127 $67 72¢ $92 +$25 09-10 05:06
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No -51 -$124 80¢ $-41 +$83 07-19 03:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -37 -$53 41¢ $-15 +$38 09-18 05:39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $12 5¢ $15 +$3 04-28 12:38
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +200 $44 6¢ $11 -$33 05-21 15:54
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $2 2¢ $5 +$3 04-28 12:45
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -80 $72 0¢ $-0 -$72 06-06 05:16