Fitting-Fiber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$46

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

31% 100% +$19

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No		+152	$46	30¢	$46	$-0	07-19 03:07
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes		-1	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	06-28 17:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-21 18:42
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$1.4K	0	1,380	-1,380	open	—	02-01 06:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-08 08:10
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	60	$1.1K	2,727	0	+2,727	open	—	03-22 02:28
dc airport ground stop lifted today	6	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	open	—	03-14 00:12
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	41	$663	1,460	50	+1,410	open	—	03-20 21:34
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$488	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-02 23:40
will sean casten be the democratic nominee for il 06	6	$478	929	29	+900	open	—	03-04 07:14
will brandon herrera be the republican nominee for tx 23 672	17	$475	897	26	+870	open	—	03-06 07:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$462	263	263	+0	open	—	02-01 05:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$450	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-27 05:53
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$443	328	328	+0	open	—	02-10 04:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 04:37
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	5	$379	841	0	+840	open	—	03-03 05:09
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	01-07 16:55
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 04:42
will tony gonzales be the republican nominee for tx 23 675	25	$287	604	0	+604	open	—	03-06 01:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 05:07
will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	6	$241	478	0	+478	open	—	03-18 02:46
will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	4	$213	272	0	+272	open	—	03-18 01:09
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	15	$196	400	0	+400	open	—	03-07 04:00
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	5	$192	426	0	+426	open	—	03-06 04:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$153	388	0	+387	open	—	02-27 05:37
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	7	$142	269	0	+269	open	—	05-02 06:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 18:43
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$120	0	158	-158	open	—	02-28 07:21
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	8	$116	252	0	+252	open	—	04-15 00:45
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	7	$98	212	0	+212	open	—	04-10 22:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	01-05 00:04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$83	200	0	+200	Yes	+$17	02-08 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 03:07:55	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	30¢	$46	0x945211…
07-15 14:39:26	california affordable housing bond proposition	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc82d40…
07-10 16:31:05	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x45d668…
07-09 00:17:22	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6ae429…
07-08 18:21:05	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x28c0b6…
06-28 17:58:46	Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x15bd2f…
06-03 16:55:28	United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x8206ee…
05-02 06:30:18	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x425a1e…
05-02 05:34:46	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7d16cf…
05-01 23:24:34	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x7356c5…
05-01 23:23:16	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x2c409a…
05-01 23:15:28	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x43df2a…
05-01 23:10:44	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x8d97e7…
05-01 22:46:40	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5fd9f8…
04-17 22:47:28	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x844462…
04-15 00:45:28	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe97a27…
04-14 04:37:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x5e5989…
04-13 22:29:05	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xa8a318…
04-12 18:32:21	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xaa3712…
04-12 18:21:07	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xa687ea…
04-12 18:21:05	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcf4e22…
04-12 18:20:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x485e32…
04-10 23:51:23	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xe17277…
04-10 23:51:23	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x55123f…
04-10 23:51:21	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x8250a9…
04-10 22:00:07	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0xcb3adb…
04-10 06:36:29	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb849a3…
04-09 15:05:39	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x5ed00f…
04-08 05:07:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	44	63¢	$27	0x03e05f…
04-01 23:36:19	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x66f0a5…
03-22 07:11:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x361f10…
03-22 07:06:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	125	64¢	$80	0x4bc67f…
03-22 06:45:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x7fb22e…
03-22 06:26:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1fa734…
03-22 02:28:33	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x01df88…
03-21 18:42:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	900	99¢	$891	0x12e433…
03-20 21:34:23	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xecfe10…
03-20 19:20:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x986d3f…
03-19 06:49:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	400	97¢	$390	0xadc32c…
03-18 07:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xf7cb54…
03-18 02:46:13	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7a2c29…
03-18 01:23:05	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x814054…
03-18 01:20:37	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x8f656a…
03-18 01:09:45	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0x22fdcf…
03-18 01:07:41	will anthony driver jr be the democratic nominee for il 07 275	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xe8b278…
03-18 00:44:39	will jason friedman be the democratic nominee for il 07 113	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x4a2872…
03-18 00:41:31	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	No	BUY	215	56¢	$121	0xf45027…
03-18 00:40:29	will la shawn ford be the democratic nominee for il 07 347	Yes	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0xbc02ea…
03-18 00:40:25	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	No	BUY	82	38¢	$31	0x3f8b66…
03-18 00:28:09	will la shawn ford be the democratic nominee for il 07 347	Yes	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0x25bfd0…
03-18 00:27:35	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0xd37c92…
03-18 00:21:37	will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x138f7c…
03-17 08:16:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	198	95¢	$189	0x1e24fd…
03-17 08:15:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0xf24031…
03-15 20:59:13	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x86cf78…
03-15 14:33:51	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x243993…
03-15 13:47:39	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5f2106…
03-14 00:12:57	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xa30b93…
03-13 23:46:39	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x6c09e4…
03-13 23:45:21	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa74f93…
03-13 23:44:57	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x906abf…
03-13 23:39:29	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xab9d30…
03-13 23:39:23	dc airport ground stop lifted today	Yes	BUY	194	96¢	$186	0xef1557…
03-12 20:11:01	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xbf1fb6…
03-12 20:11:01	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1a5801…
03-12 20:07:55	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xf98b22…
03-12 20:07:55	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd4a41a…
03-12 20:07:55	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb6f58a…
03-12 11:40:57	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x9f6ee2…
03-12 04:04:01	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x0b0923…
03-12 01:49:43	will jason friedman be the democratic nominee for il 07 113	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x6e0eb0…
03-12 01:45:23	will jason friedman be the democratic nominee for il 07 113	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa7c6bc…
03-11 05:55:03	will anthony driver jr be the democratic nominee for il 07 275	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x056a86…
03-10 12:37:05	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xcaa4a5…
03-10 06:50:53	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x9ce134…
03-10 04:09:01	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	115	76¢	$87	0x8bc502…
03-07 08:12:49	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xe3d09c…
03-07 04:00:41	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	101	22¢	$22	0x2d2bfd…
03-07 03:48:21	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x572334…
03-07 03:40:49	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x1242ea…
03-07 03:40:27	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x216bcb…
03-07 03:29:41	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x771fbc…
03-07 03:11:59	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x11b54f…
03-07 03:10:13	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x584ad7…
03-07 03:09:01	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x3143e9…
03-07 02:41:31	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x937c52…
03-07 02:41:31	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x53613b…
03-07 02:40:47	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x212f2d…
03-07 02:28:17	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb7c092…
03-07 01:11:57	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x07d0f8…
03-07 00:58:33	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd8a2fd…
03-07 00:40:07	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	177	71¢	$126	0x1cf34b…
03-07 00:17:59	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xd62b2b…
03-06 21:46:33	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xbd6fa0…
03-06 21:03:59	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xc2139e…
03-06 17:56:45	Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	90	48¢	$43	0xef326f…
03-06 15:25:57	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf796f6…
03-06 15:17:23	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb1c8e8…
03-06 15:17:11	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x22e21b…
03-06 15:12:45	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xf4026f…