California voter ID referendum passes?
open
Total volume
$325
Trades
46
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$7,983
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-27 14:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $16 | $51 | $35 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $8 | $6 | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $24 | $17 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $16 | $5 | +$11 |
| Below median | 5 | $20 | $5 | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 8 | $11 | $13 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 07-24 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +36 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 07-10 02:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 06:54 |
| Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-23 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-15 10:16 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 07:08 |
| Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-27 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d0…6c7e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 20:28 |
| Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 03:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:56:46 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x05197a… |
| 07-27 14:56:46 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x05197a… |
| 07-27 14:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x05197a… |
| 07-24 14:26:42 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 48 | 54¢ | $26 | 0x0caec2… |
| 07-24 14:26:42 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 48 | 54¢ | $26 | 0x0caec2… |
| 07-24 07:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0xe188e2… |
| 07-24 07:08:16 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xe188e2… |
| 07-23 02:31:42 | Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x32bd00… |
| 07-23 02:31:42 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x32bd00… |
| 07-23 02:30:30 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x0a9d89… |
| 07-23 02:30:30 | Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x0a9d89… |
| 07-15 10:16:26 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x60d078… |
| 07-15 10:16:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x60d078… |
| 07-15 10:16:26 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x60d078… |
| 07-14 00:11:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0x6b8bfe… |
| 07-14 00:11:14 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0x6b8bfe… |
| 07-12 07:51:28 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xba843e… |
| 07-12 07:51:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 63 | 51¢ | $33 | 0xba843e… |
| 07-12 07:51:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0xba843e… |
| 07-12 07:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 48¢ | $11 | 0xba843e… |
| 07-10 02:16:37 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 15 | 53¢ | $8 | 0x6a74df… |
| 07-10 02:16:37 | Sugary-Mortgage 0x3665…1c51 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x6a74df… |
| 07-10 02:16:37 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x6a74df… |
| 06-26 18:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x0a1373… |
| 06-26 18:55:19 | Slimy-Rectangle 0x1c11…be9c | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x0a1373… |
| 06-24 14:00:37 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x683a1f… |
| 06-24 14:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x683a1f… |
| 06-24 12:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x1da4e0… |
| 06-24 12:38:41 | Simplistic-Policy 0xf8d4…a0b5 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x1da4e0… |
| 06-21 07:49:10 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xc30488… |
| 06-21 07:49:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xc30488… |
| 06-21 06:54:43 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 24 | 54¢ | $13 | 0x63bf16… |
| 06-21 06:54:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 54¢ | $13 | 0x63bf16… |
| 06-21 03:33:13 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xa17528… |
| 06-21 03:33:13 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xa17528… |
| 06-12 02:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1365ed… |
| 06-12 02:23:42 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x1365ed… |
| 06-11 21:50:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x3d4aaf… |
| 06-11 21:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x3d4aaf… |
| 06-11 20:28:46 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x8d4858… |
| 06-11 20:28:46 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x8d4858… |
| 06-11 20:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x41d0…6c7e | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x8d4858… |
| 06-01 05:06:02 | Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x5e2bb7… |
| 06-01 05:06:02 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x5e2bb7… |
| 06-01 03:33:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x2ac917… |
| 06-01 03:33:20 | Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x2ac917… |