Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
23
Trades
2,433
lifetime
Volume
$67.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$213
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 09:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
38% 80% +$24
Politics
37% 75% +$8
Sports
19% 60% $-133
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -106 $-99 96¢ $-102 $-2 06-02 18:24
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -113 $-40 24¢ $-28 +$12 06-25 10:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -18 $-14 83¢ $-15 $-1 06-05 07:11
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -96 $-30 12¢ $-11 +$18 06-21 06:29
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -143 $-7 $-7 $-0 06-06 16:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-11 20:28
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -32 $-5 19¢ $-6 $-1 06-22 07:40
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? No -7 $-5 84¢ $-6 $-0 06-26 21:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 $-6 46¢ $-5 +$1 06-14 08:36
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes -6 $-5 81¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 20:26
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 67¢ $-5 $-1 06-11 20:33
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +24 $5 16¢ $4 $-1 05-28 22:41
California voter ID referendum passes? No -7 $-4 52¢ $-4 +$0 06-11 20:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -7 $-4 40¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 20:36
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-1 06-30 19:07
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-06 16:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -10 $3 $-0 $-3 06-30 16:05
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-9 54¢ $0 +$9 06-17 03:49
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 22:09