Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
23
Trades
2,569
lifetime
Volume
$69.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$192
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
38% 80% +$24
Politics
35% 75% +$8
Sports
19% 60% $-133
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -106 $-99 96¢ $-102 $-2 06-02 18:24
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -18 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-2 06-05 07:11
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -113 $-40 12¢ $-14 +$25 06-25 10:42
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -96 $-30 14¢ $-13 +$17 06-21 06:29
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 74¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 20:28
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? No -7 $-5 88¢ $-6 $-1 06-26 21:20
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes -6 $-5 93¢ $-6 $-1 06-11 20:26
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 77¢ $-5 $-2 06-11 20:33
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -32 $-5 16¢ $-5 +$0 06-22 07:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 $-6 42¢ $-5 +$1 06-14 08:36
California voter ID referendum passes? No -7 $-4 48¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 20:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -7 $-4 40¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 20:36
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -143 $-7 $-3 +$4 06-06 16:06
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 24¢ $-2 $-1 06-30 19:07
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-06 16:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 21:59
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-29 22:09