Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9ed2…746f3e
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$326
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
717
Trades
6,781
lifetime
Volume
$33.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$452
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-27 08:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
63% 41% -$228
Sports
16% 32% -$52
Crypto
12% 50% -$38
Politics
6% 45% -$10
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +220 $118 54¢ $119 +$1 10-25 22:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +135 $97 79¢ $106 +$10 10-27 08:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 10-26 14:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $32 64¢ $32 +$1 10-25 22:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $27 44¢ $26 -$1 10-22 13:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +60 $14 26¢ $15 +$1 10-16 19:11
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +40 $15 36¢ $14 -$1 10-22 23:13
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +30 $16 47¢ $14 -$2 10-25 00:15
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +25 $8 48¢ $12 +$4 10-02 04:54
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +15 $4 70¢ $10 +$6 10-12 08:29
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 09-13 23:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +30 $12 32¢ $10 -$2 10-20 11:36
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +74 $13 12¢ $9 -$3 10-25 22:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 10-25 21:52
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +25 $8 23¢ $6 -$2 09-25 01:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-12 23:33
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 10-11 14:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +30 $1 9¢ $3 +$2 10-23 06:34
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +37 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 10-25 04:03
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +3 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 10-22 15:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 27¢ $1 $0 10-15 04:03
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-22 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 $0 07-28 20:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 07-10 14:46
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 09-16 18:49
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 11:34