Realized P&L
-$329
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
724
Trades
6,933
lifetime
Volume
$34.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$483
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-29 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
62% 41% -$224
Sports
17% 31% -$59
Crypto
12% 50% -$38
Politics
7% 45% -$10
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +220 $118 65¢ $144 +$26 10-25 22:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +135 $97 86¢ $116 +$20 10-27 08:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +50 $41 87¢ $44 +$3 10-26 14:11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +100 $31 34¢ $34 +$2 10-29 02:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $32 49¢ $25 -$7 10-25 22:49
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +19 $16 92¢ $18 +$2 10-27 23:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $21 34¢ $17 -$4 10-27 23:42
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +30 $16 46¢ $14 -$2 10-25 00:15
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +15 $4 87¢ $13 +$9 10-12 08:29
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +25 $8 44¢ $11 +$3 10-02 04:54
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +74 $13 14¢ $10 -$3 10-25 22:32
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 09-13 23:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $6 13¢ $7 +$0 10-25 21:52
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +25 $8 24¢ $6 -$2 09-25 01:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-12 23:33
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-11 14:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +30 $1 9¢ $3 +$2 10-23 06:34
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +3 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 10-22 15:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 $0 10-15 04:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 $0 07-28 20:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 07-10 14:46
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 11:34