Realized P&L (24h)
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
82
7,181 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$992
$37.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$413
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 11-01 11:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
63% 41% -$257
Sports
17% 31% -$59
Crypto
11% 50% -$38
Politics
7% 45% -$10
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +220 $118 61¢ $135 +$16 10-25 22:16
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +60 $53 92¢ $55 +$2 10-31 00:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 10-26 14:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $32 48¢ $24 -$8 10-25 22:49
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +50 $23 44¢ $22 -$1 10-31 00:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +55 $9 34¢ $18 +$10 10-30 13:29
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +19 $16 93¢ $18 +$2 10-27 23:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $24 31¢ $15 -$9 10-29 17:52
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +15 $4 93¢ $14 +$10 10-12 08:29
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +25 $8 46¢ $12 +$4 10-02 04:54
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +19 $11 62¢ $11 +$1 10-07 13:21
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 09-13 23:14
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +39 $11 23¢ $9 -$2 10-31 09:16
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +74 $13 11¢ $8 -$5 10-25 22:32
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +25 $8 23¢ $6 -$2 09-25 01:38
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +50 $13 10¢ $5 -$8 10-29 16:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-12 23:33
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +3 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 10-22 15:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 $0 10-15 04:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +5 -$2 18¢ $1 +$3 10-30 23:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 74¢ $0 $0 07-28 20:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 21¢ $0 +$0 07-10 14:46
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 11:34