Stupendous-Donut 0x4e9ed2…746f3e
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved (30d)
115
Trades (30d)
2,420
6,835 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$17.5K
$33.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$452
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-27 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
62% 41% -$228
Sports
16% 32% -$52
Crypto
12% 50% -$38
Politics
6% 45% -$10
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +220 $118 57¢ $125 +$7 10-25 22:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +135 $97 84¢ $114 +$17 10-27 08:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$3 10-26 14:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $32 66¢ $33 +$1 10-25 22:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $27 43¢ $26 -$1 10-22 13:55
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +61 $25 36¢ $22 -$3 10-27 19:23
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +30 $16 47¢ $14 -$2 10-25 00:15
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +25 $8 44¢ $11 +$3 10-02 04:54
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-13 23:14
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +74 $13 12¢ $9 -$3 10-25 22:32
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +15 $4 60¢ $9 +$5 10-12 08:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +21 $9 36¢ $7 -$1 10-27 15:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $6 14¢ $7 +$1 10-25 21:52
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +25 $8 23¢ $6 -$2 09-25 01:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-12 23:33
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-11 14:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +30 $1 9¢ $3 +$2 10-23 06:34
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +3 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 10-22 15:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 27¢ $1 $0 10-15 04:03
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-22 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 07-28 20:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 07-10 14:46
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +0 $0 11¢ $0 $0 09-16 18:49
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-03 11:34