Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$205
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved
108
Trades
2,141
lifetime
Volume
$62.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.12K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 06-30 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
50% 67% +$13
Other
39% 72% +$29
Pop-Culture
5%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 50% $-0
Sports
1% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +724 $580 90¢ $648 +$68 06-26 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +171 $141 82¢ $141 +$0 06-26 08:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -274 $-208 26¢ $-70 +$138 06-10 21:41
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +85 $68 68¢ $58 $-10 06-26 02:38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +61 $30 55¢ $34 +$4 06-24 14:42
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July? No -26 $-25 98¢ $-25 $-1 06-03 15:11
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +42 $25 58¢ $24 $-1 06-26 23:25
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +19 $16 100¢ $19 +$3 06-18 14:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -17 $-14 100¢ $-17 $-3 06-01 04:49
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +24 $18 70¢ $17 $-1 06-26 02:38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +19 $13 74¢ $14 +$0 06-26 23:25
Will FURIA make a roster change before July? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 06-18 17:16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -17 $-10 58¢ $-10 +$1 06-12 00:46
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? No -7 $-6 98¢ $-7 $-1 06-06 03:35
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 +$0 06-13 12:08
California voter ID referendum passes? No +8 $5 52¢ $4 $-1 06-01 05:06
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 06-26 23:25
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 $-0 06-26 23:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 06-26 08:54
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 06-25 13:38
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 05-30 22:50
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 17:17
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 03:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-30 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-24 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -21 $-8 $-0 +$8 05-27 22:36