Dim-Butane 0xb03e9b…9c1091 Create alert
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$726
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
827
Trades
3,272
lifetime
Volume
$90.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$714
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 11-04 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
51% 70% +$96
Other
38% 75% +$552
Tech
6% 88% +$135
Pop-Culture
3% 54% -$50
Crypto
2% 73% -$27
Sports
1% 60% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +266 $250 96¢ $254 +$4 11-04 11:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -134 -$111 96¢ $-129 -$18 10-05 23:52
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +101 $100 99¢ $100 +$0 11-04 06:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +750 $118 8¢ $60 -$57 06-26 23:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +259 $59 14¢ $37 -$22 06-26 23:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +35 $34 98¢ $34 +$0 11-04 06:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -16 -$242 97¢ $-16 +$227 11-04 00:57
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -17 -$10 90¢ $-15 -$5 06-12 00:46
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-11 -$1 05-13 05:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +106 $93 11¢ $11 -$82 06-26 08:54
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 05-20 09:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +19 $13 55¢ $10 -$3 06-26 23:25
No one announced as next James Bond? No +11 $10 82¢ $9 -$1 11-03 06:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -9 -$6 91¢ $-8 -$2 06-02 18:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 05-20 11:29
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -3 -$3 99¢ $-3 $0 06-04 04:26