Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved
108
Trades
2,141
lifetime
Volume
$62.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$998
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 06-30 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
50% 67% +$13
Other
39% 72% +$29
Pop-Culture
5%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 50% $-0
Sports
1% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +724 $580 91¢ $659 +$79 06-26 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +171 $141 54¢ $92 $-49 06-26 08:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -274 $-208 20¢ $-53 +$155 06-10 21:41
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +85 $68 50¢ $42 $-26 06-26 02:38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +61 $30 64¢ $39 +$9 06-24 14:42
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +42 $25 67¢ $28 +$3 06-26 23:25
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +19 $16 100¢ $19 +$3 06-18 14:36
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +24 $18 66¢ $16 $-2 06-26 02:38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +19 $13 80¢ $15 +$1 06-26 23:25
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -17 $-10 70¢ $-12 $-1 06-12 00:46
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-13 12:08
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-26 23:25
California voter ID referendum passes? No +8 $5 49¢ $4 $-1 06-01 05:06
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 $3 91¢ $3 +$0 06-26 23:25
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 06-25 13:38
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 17:17
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 03:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-30 17:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 05-30 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $3 $0 $-3 06-26 08:54