Realized P&L
+$512
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
760
Trades
2,965
lifetime
Volume
$73.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.69K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 10-05 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
48% 67% -$90
Other
38% 74% +$524
Tech
7% 88% +$135
Pop-Culture
4% 54% -$50
Crypto
2% 73% -$27
Sports
1% 60% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1,303 $1,034 97¢ $1.3K +$227 06-26 21:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -134 -$111 96¢ $-128 -$17 10-05 23:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +750 $118 12¢ $91 -$27 06-26 23:24
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +61 $30 82¢ $50 +$20 06-24 14:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +259 $59 16¢ $40 -$18 06-26 23:24
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +42 $25 83¢ $35 +$10 06-26 23:25
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -17 -$10 86¢ $-14 -$4 06-12 00:46
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +19 $13 70¢ $13 $0 06-26 23:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +106 $93 12¢ $12 -$81 06-26 08:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-11 -$1 05-13 05:26
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 05-20 09:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -9 -$6 86¢ $-7 -$2 06-02 18:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 05-20 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 30¢ $5 -$5 05-29 17:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 06-04 04:26
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 05-30 22:50
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-07 14:54
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-07 14:53