Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
59
Trades
971
lifetime
Volume
$5.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$806
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 10-12 08:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
67% 73% +$98
Politics
31% 58% -$26
Tech
2% 0% -$2
Sports
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +137 $90 98¢ $134 +$44 08-21 01:26
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +98 $85 99¢ $97 +$12 08-24 03:11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +129 $78 64¢ $83 +$5 08-24 03:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +88 $61 92¢ $81 +$20 06-03 12:09
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +71 $66 98¢ $69 +$3 08-24 03:11
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +49 $43 95¢ $46 +$3 10-12 08:45
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +129 $45 36¢ $46 +$1 08-21 08:33
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +42 $28 97¢ $40 +$12 08-24 03:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +30 $10 92¢ $28 +$17 08-24 03:11
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +27 $18 90¢ $24 +$7 08-24 03:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$4 08-24 03:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +20 $16 93¢ $19 +$3 05-27 12:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 05-19 22:18
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +20 $15 88¢ $18 +$2 07-24 18:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +17 $8 94¢ $16 +$8 05-11 23:21
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$1 08-24 03:11
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 05-15 04:56
US recession by end of 2026? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$3 08-24 03:09
Will Trump nationalize elections? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 05-10 08:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +88 $27 8¢ $7 -$20 06-03 04:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +137 $40 2¢ $3 -$36 08-21 19:53
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +27 $6 10¢ $3 -$3 07-27 14:15
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +49 $8 5¢ $3 -$5 06-17 22:05
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +20 $7 12¢ $2 -$4 05-09 21:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +30 $15 8¢ $2 -$13 06-18 21:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $3 11¢ $2 -$1 07-12 18:44
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +2 $35 82¢ $2 -$33 08-24 03:11
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +71 $11 2¢ $2 -$10 08-16 17:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +42 $9 3¢ $1 -$8 08-07 01:27
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +20 $4 7¢ $1 -$3 05-28 19:33