Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
433
lifetime
Volume
$1.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$372
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-21 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
73% 50% +$8
Politics
27% 25% $-15
Sports
0% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +40 $34 79¢ $32 $-2 07-21 16:39
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +32 $28 84¢ $27 $-1 06-24 01:30
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +30 $26 89¢ $26 +$1 07-03 21:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +30 $21 78¢ $24 +$2 06-03 12:09
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +23 $21 96¢ $22 +$1 06-28 02:03
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +30 $16 70¢ $21 +$5 06-19 06:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +21 $11 60¢ $13 +$1 06-08 13:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +60 $10 21¢ $13 +$3 07-18 09:03
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 05-31 22:15
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-23 20:33
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-11 19:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +11 $9 88¢ $10 +$0 07-18 08:10
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 06-12 15:58
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 07-02 20:06
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $8 54¢ $9 +$2 06-06 16:01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 05-30 05:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $12 46¢ $9 $-2 06-04 10:52
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-28 13:10
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +30 $15 30¢ $9 $-6 06-18 21:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-27 08:03
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-18 15:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 07-13 20:26
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-23 02:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 07-12 22:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 07-19 02:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +40 $12 22¢ $9 $-3 06-03 04:18
California voter ID referendum passes? Yes +16 $8 52¢ $8 +$1 07-10 02:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +20 $10 40¢ $8 $-2 07-16 04:28
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +7 $6 97¢ $6 +$1 07-08 01:11
UK Recession in 2026? No +7 $4 84¢ $6 +$2 06-13 03:26