Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.8%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 08-12 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

69% 50% +$8

Politics

30% 25% $-15

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	100	$367	730	+730	open	—	06-24 15:54
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	52	$278	484	+484	open	—	08-11 11:35
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	31	$265	319	+319	open	—	06-24 01:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	58	$264	521	+521	open	—	06-18 10:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	23	$161	248	+248	open	—	08-06 04:33
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	31	$131	266	+266	Yes	$-2	05-11 08:08
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	15	$81	150	+150	open	—	07-21 16:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	14	$77	145	+145	open	—	08-12 14:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	8	$67	126	+126	open	—	07-30 18:23
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	11	$46	70	+70	open	—	05-15 17:02
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	11	$45	95	+95	open	—	06-04 12:39
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	10	$40	79	+79	open	—	07-23 19:36
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	8	$38	71	+71	open	—	08-12 00:58
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	5	$37	49	+49	open	—	05-15 02:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$37	60	+60	Yes	$-7	05-08 19:08
Canada recession before 2027?	10	$33	60	+60	open	—	05-29 13:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	7	$33	70	+70	open	—	06-03 12:09
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	5	$33	71	+71	open	—	08-08 16:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	6	$31	60	+60	open	—	06-19 06:14
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	11	$30	70	+70	open	—	05-28 18:47
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	5	$30	47	+47	open	—	05-26 02:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$30	75	+75	open	—	05-28 15:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	8	$29	50	+50	open	—	07-28 14:27
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$28	40	+40	open	—	05-12 00:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	4	$24	28	+28	open	—	07-18 08:10
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	5	$23	51	+51	open	—	07-27 19:59
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	5	$21	24	+24	open	—	06-28 02:03
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	3	$18	28	+28	open	—	06-18 09:47
California voter ID referendum passes?	5	$18	36	+36	open	—	07-10 02:16
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	4	$15	20	+20	open	—	05-08 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:06:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x078d48…
08-12 08:43:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xdb87ea…
08-12 00:58:04	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xa315e8…
08-12 00:57:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa9c218…
08-11 16:36:36	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x09bc55…
08-11 14:20:22	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x44ff75…
08-11 11:35:12	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0610d8…
08-11 07:53:03	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb43be1…
08-08 16:11:52	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x32b806…
08-07 19:23:24	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4ce013…
08-07 01:27:07	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xec36c0…
08-07 01:18:39	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x21fdd0…
08-06 04:33:27	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xcf0f11…
08-06 00:52:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaad288…
08-05 18:00:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1a25b2…
08-04 15:49:42	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa7f329…
08-04 06:58:23	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xafb1e5…
08-02 21:23:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x6c86cd…
08-02 19:02:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3f53ef…
07-31 15:51:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x235b4c…
07-31 15:48:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6bd66b…
07-31 14:40:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x211e31…
07-31 14:26:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2554be…
07-31 14:24:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc99220…
07-31 13:47:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9d56e3…
07-30 18:23:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x057bbb…
07-30 08:47:50	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5e5501…
07-29 22:47:57	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd36cef…
07-29 22:47:09	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x3ef132…
07-29 22:42:20	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$5	0xd6be71…
07-29 22:40:36	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x84d98b…
07-29 21:58:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc8e918…
07-29 21:32:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x24ad9e…
07-29 18:25:36	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf4fb3d…
07-28 14:27:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x740f9a…
07-28 12:20:41	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x5726fa…
07-28 11:37:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x36888d…
07-27 20:27:57	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfe66ed…
07-27 19:59:31	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x640b14…
07-27 14:15:48	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x5c3583…
07-27 14:07:31	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf2ce2b…
07-27 12:58:55	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xcc490f…
07-27 07:24:57	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x00a9f1…
07-27 01:45:00	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x649a2d…
07-26 15:51:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x52c74b…
07-25 22:25:51	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x245eb6…
07-25 20:10:06	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8ec5a9…
07-25 10:55:45	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x1811a3…
07-25 04:04:28	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xfdfa09…
07-24 23:44:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0260cd…
07-24 22:07:58	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x25fedf…
07-24 18:55:15	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x95ba0f…
07-24 18:23:34	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$9	0x7dc3b4…
07-24 17:20:03	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x629356…
07-24 12:36:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x36b794…
07-24 09:21:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x097d1a…
07-23 22:55:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xca88d2…
07-23 19:36:42	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf62ba4…
07-23 19:00:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x699b0e…
07-23 19:00:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x66156b…
07-23 19:00:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xc2d8a6…
07-23 17:53:22	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7ed6e2…
07-23 17:50:42	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9968eb…
07-22 11:38:25	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6016ed…
07-21 16:39:27	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x9ef345…
07-20 18:40:06	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7ebaca…
07-20 10:08:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9332cf…
07-20 10:05:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd5625e…
07-19 23:28:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x675f0e…
07-19 23:22:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x0993c6…
07-19 23:22:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xb0bb56…
07-19 02:58:37	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9e03ac…
07-18 12:46:42	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x207506…
07-18 09:03:18	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x703cc1…
07-18 08:10:40	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x9e13e4…
07-18 08:00:07	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4e59e8…
07-17 01:27:14	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcc6cd7…
07-16 04:28:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb82931…
07-16 00:00:46	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x899955…
07-15 17:46:34	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7a9de9…
07-13 20:26:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x44d280…
07-13 20:24:23	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0a6110…
07-13 18:38:05	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5b829f…
07-12 22:22:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4889c4…
07-12 18:44:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xfc54ad…
07-12 17:53:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xafc45a…
07-10 02:16:37	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6a74df…
07-08 01:11:43	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xab3d0a…
07-03 21:57:53	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0bf56d…
07-02 20:06:49	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x11fb68…
07-01 13:52:19	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7b9810…
06-30 08:06:04	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$8	0x055219…
06-28 13:10:38	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6834f0…
06-28 02:03:41	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x891bec…
06-27 08:03:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xae11bf…
06-27 07:20:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x66138c…
06-24 15:54:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5093e1…
06-24 15:54:32	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x43ea44…
06-24 15:54:23	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x48fccc…
06-24 14:00:37	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x683a1f…