Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
403
lifetime
Volume
$1.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$548
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-30 08:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
75% 50% +$8
Politics
25% 25% $-15
Sports
0% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +250 $178 99¢ $249 +$71 06-18 10:00
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +32 $28 85¢ $27 $-0 06-24 01:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +30 $21 74¢ $22 +$1 06-03 12:09
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 +$0 06-28 02:03
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +19 $17 99¢ $19 +$2 06-18 09:47
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +30 $16 58¢ $18 +$2 06-19 06:14
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +20 $17 85¢ $17 $-0 06-19 02:46
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +20 $18 67¢ $13 $-4 06-15 16:55
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +30 $15 42¢ $12 $-3 06-18 21:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +21 $11 55¢ $11 +$0 06-08 13:17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $8 61¢ $11 +$3 06-06 16:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +40 $12 26¢ $10 $-2 06-03 04:18
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 05-31 22:15
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 06-11 19:40
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 05-30 05:52
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-12 15:58
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-23 20:33
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-23 02:27
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-18 15:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +10 $8 87¢ $9 +$0 06-28 13:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 06-27 08:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $12 39¢ $8 $-4 06-04 10:52
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +8 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 06-30 08:06
UK Recession in 2026? No +7 $4 73¢ $5 +$2 06-13 03:26
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-03 13:22
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +19 $3 15¢ $3 $-0 06-17 22:05
California voter ID referendum passes? Yes +6 $3 48¢ $3 $-0 06-24 14:00
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes +20 $3 13¢ $3 $-0 06-13 09:46
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +4 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 06-14 21:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 06-09 01:05